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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam

Vicente Ada 78%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 18%

Marcel Camacho 2.4%

Charlie Hermosa 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Vicente Ada 78%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 18%

Marcel Camacho 2.4%

Charlie Hermosa 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Vicente Ada

$0 Vol.

76%

Frank F. Blas Jr.

$0 Vol.

18%

Marcel Camacho

$0 Vol.

2%

Charlie Hermosa

$0 Vol.

1%

Douglas Moylan

$4,469 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vice Speaker Vicente Ada leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability for the Guam Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, driven by his prominent legislative role in the newly Republican-controlled Guam Legislature, early campaign announcement in July 2025, and recent official filing with running mate E.J. Calvo on February 25 amid the ongoing petition period through May 1. Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. holds 18% following his February 22 campaign headquarters opening with Mary Okada, leveraging his leadership position. Minor candidates like Marcel Camacho trail due to lower name recognition and fundraising. Absent new polls since December 2025's undecided plurality, odds reflect established incumbents' advantages in a low-turnout primary.

Vice Speaker Vicente Ada leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability for the Guam Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, driven by his prominent legislative role in the newly Republican-controlled Guam Legislature, early campaign announcement in July 2025, and recent official filing with running mate E.J. Calvo on February 25 amid the ongoing petition period through May 1. Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. holds 18% following his February 22 campaign headquarters opening with Mary Okada, leveraging his leadership position. Minor candidates like Marcel Camacho trail due to lower name recognition and fundraising. Absent new polls since December 2025's undecided plurality, odds reflect established incumbents' advantages in a low-turnout primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vice Speaker Vicente Ada leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability for the Guam Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, driven by his prominent legislative role in the newly Republican-controlled Guam Legislature, early campaign announcement in July 2025, and recent official filing with running mate E.J. Calvo on February 25 amid the ongoing petition period through May 1. Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. holds 18% following his February 22 campaign headquarters opening with Mary Okada, leveraging his leadership position. Minor candidates like Marcel Camacho trail due to lower name recognition and fundraising. Absent new polls since December 2025's undecided plurality, odds reflect established incumbents' advantages in a low-turnout primary.

Vice Speaker Vicente Ada leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability for the Guam Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, driven by his prominent legislative role in the newly Republican-controlled Guam Legislature, early campaign announcement in July 2025, and recent official filing with running mate E.J. Calvo on February 25 amid the ongoing petition period through May 1. Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. holds 18% following his February 22 campaign headquarters opening with Mary Okada, leveraging his leadership position. Minor candidates like Marcel Camacho trail due to lower name recognition and fundraising. Absent new polls since December 2025's undecided plurality, odds reflect established incumbents' advantages in a low-turnout primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Vicente Ada" con 76%, seguido de "Frank F. Blas Jr." con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam" es "Vicente Ada" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Frank F. Blas Jr." con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Guam" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.