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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$938,640,406 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$938,640,406 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,632,856 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,164,454 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,870,144 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,714,050 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,502,062 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,900,130 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,258,416 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,027,263 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,689,177 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,773,686 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,029,484 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,581,733 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,505,473 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,231,463 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,177,120 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,427,021 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,260,308 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,179,838 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,276,354 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,741,320 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,844,323 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,757,474 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,416,724 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,983,527 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,571,786 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,097,975 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,008,193 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,456,210 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,725,185 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,375,444 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,260,397 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,249,080 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,427,101 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,745,353 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,509,986 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,026,159 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$32,885,468 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,353,669 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,422,685 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,441,546 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,422,308 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,558,541 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,724,500 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,484,821 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.3%, reflecting his sustained national visibility as a Trump administration critic and strong showing in a March 20 California poll trouncing Kamala Harris among state Democrats. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by progressive enthusiasm, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% highlights Georgia's battleground appeal. Recent national surveys like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Harris edging Newsom 22%-19%, but traders discount her post-2024 viability amid party soul-searching. Differentiation stems from Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge versus AOC's youth and base mobilization or Ossoff's swing-state incumbency. 2026 midterms, endorsements, and polling shifts could consolidate support in this wide-open primary field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.3%, reflecting his sustained national visibility as a Trump administration critic and strong showing in a March 20 California poll trouncing Kamala Harris among state Democrats. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by progressive enthusiasm, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% highlights Georgia's battleground appeal. Recent national surveys like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Harris edging Newsom 22%-19%, but traders discount her post-2024 viability amid party soul-searching. Differentiation stems from Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge versus AOC's youth and base mobilization or Ossoff's swing-state incumbency. 2026 midterms, endorsements, and polling shifts could consolidate support in this wide-open primary field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.3%, reflecting his sustained national visibility as a Trump administration critic and strong showing in a March 20 California poll trouncing Kamala Harris among state Democrats. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by progressive enthusiasm, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% highlights Georgia's battleground appeal. Recent national surveys like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Harris edging Newsom 22%-19%, but traders discount her post-2024 viability amid party soul-searching. Differentiation stems from Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge versus AOC's youth and base mobilization or Ossoff's swing-state incumbency. 2026 midterms, endorsements, and polling shifts could consolidate support in this wide-open primary field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.3%, reflecting his sustained national visibility as a Trump administration critic and strong showing in a March 20 California poll trouncing Kamala Harris among state Democrats. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% buoyed by progressive enthusiasm, while Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% highlights Georgia's battleground appeal. Recent national surveys like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Harris edging Newsom 22%-19%, but traders discount her post-2024 viability amid party soul-searching. Differentiation stems from Newsom's executive experience and fundraising edge versus AOC's youth and base mobilization or Ossoff's swing-state incumbency. 2026 midterms, endorsements, and polling shifts could consolidate support in this wide-open primary field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $938.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.