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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$944,064,666 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$944,064,666 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,894,188 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,239,416 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,943,474 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,780,883 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,973,309 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,570,600 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,784,146 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,251,734 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,413,023 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$4,112,953 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,182,488 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,649,953 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,579,766 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,244,861 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$4,430,756 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,537,654 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,913,063 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,337,060 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,438,275 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,214,632 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,904,802 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,827,956 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,057,506 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,105,863 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,679,529 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,422,115 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,407,674 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,210,637 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,526,292 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,693,315 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,323,888 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,807,984 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,539,905 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,483,116 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,971,992 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,606,430 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,151,431 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,019,614 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,521,285 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,537,574 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,530,043 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,668,590 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,947,483 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,705,580 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 24% probability for Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris in a recent UC Berkeley-POLITICO California primary poll (28%-14%, conducted February 25-March 3) and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, alongside anti-Trump advocacy. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, drawing progressive youth support from her February Munich Security Conference appearance that briefly lifted her odds. Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from viral anti-Trump speeches underscoring Georgia's battleground viability, while Harris lags at 4% despite national polling edges, burdened by 2024 defeat. In this wide-open primary field, consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results for governors and senators, early fundraising tallies, endorsements, and DNC rules changes ahead of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 24% probability for Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris in a recent UC Berkeley-POLITICO California primary poll (28%-14%, conducted February 25-March 3) and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, alongside anti-Trump advocacy. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, drawing progressive youth support from her February Munich Security Conference appearance that briefly lifted her odds. Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from viral anti-Trump speeches underscoring Georgia's battleground viability, while Harris lags at 4% despite national polling edges, burdened by 2024 defeat. In this wide-open primary field, consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results for governors and senators, early fundraising tallies, endorsements, and DNC rules changes ahead of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 24% probability for Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris in a recent UC Berkeley-POLITICO California primary poll (28%-14%, conducted February 25-March 3) and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, alongside anti-Trump advocacy. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, drawing progressive youth support from her February Munich Security Conference appearance that briefly lifted her odds. Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from viral anti-Trump speeches underscoring Georgia's battleground viability, while Harris lags at 4% despite national polling edges, burdened by 2024 defeat. In this wide-open primary field, consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results for governors and senators, early fundraising tallies, endorsements, and DNC rules changes ahead of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 24% probability for Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris in a recent UC Berkeley-POLITICO California primary poll (28%-14%, conducted February 25-March 3) and high-profile book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire, alongside anti-Trump advocacy. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, drawing progressive youth support from her February Munich Security Conference appearance that briefly lifted her odds. Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from viral anti-Trump speeches underscoring Georgia's battleground viability, while Harris lags at 4% despite national polling edges, burdened by 2024 defeat. In this wide-open primary field, consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results for governors and senators, early fundraising tallies, endorsements, and DNC rules changes ahead of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $944.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.