Traders heavily favor MCU at 87.5% implied probability for winning the Central African Republic National Assembly election following provisional results from the July 30 vote, where the ruling party and allies secured a supermajority of over 50 seats in the 140-member chamber. Opposition parties like UNDP, KNK, and MLPC, which garnered 9.4%, 4.4%, and 3.8% respectively, largely boycotted amid disputed voter lists and insecurity, leading to numerous unopposed MCU victories. The National Elections Authority's announcement last week solidified this positioning, though final certification and potential legal challenges from opposition could introduce uncertainty before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de la República Centroafricana
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de la República Centroafricana
MCU 88.3%
MLPC 7.5%
KNK 4.4%
UNDP 1.0%
$56,142 Vol.
$56,142 Vol.
Dec 28, 2025
MCU
88%
MLPC
8%
KNK
4%
UNDP
1%
MOUNI
1%
RDC
1%
URCA
1%
MCU 88.3%
MLPC 7.5%
KNK 4.4%
UNDP 1.0%
$56,142 Vol.
$56,142 Vol.
Dec 28, 2025
MCU
$30,464 Vol.
88%
MLPC
$0 Vol.
8%
KNK
$7,073 Vol.
4%
UNDP
$12,289 Vol.
1%
MOUNI
$6,316 Vol.
1%
RDC
$0 Vol.
1%
URCA
$0 Vol.
1%
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Traders heavily favor MCU at 87.5% implied probability for winning the Central African Republic National Assembly election following provisional results from the July 30 vote, where the ruling party and allies secured a supermajority of over 50 seats in the 140-member chamber. Opposition parties like UNDP, KNK, and MLPC, which garnered 9.4%, 4.4%, and 3.8% respectively, largely boycotted amid disputed voter lists and insecurity, leading to numerous unopposed MCU victories. The National Elections Authority's announcement last week solidified this positioning, though final certification and potential legal challenges from opposition could introduce uncertainty before resolution.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$56,142Fecha de finalización
Dec 28, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Traders heavily favor MCU at 87.5% implied probability for winning the Central African Republic National Assembly election following provisional results from the July 30 vote, where the ruling party and allies secured a supermajority of over 50 seats in the 140-member chamber. Opposition parties like UNDP, KNK, and MLPC, which garnered 9.4%, 4.4%, and 3.8% respectively, largely boycotted amid disputed voter lists and insecurity, leading to numerous unopposed MCU victories. The National Elections Authority's announcement last week solidified this positioning, though final certification and potential legal challenges from opposition could introduce uncertainty before resolution.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Volumen
$56,142Fecha de finalización
Dec 28, 2025Mercado abierto
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor MCU at 87.5% implied probability for winning the Central African Republic National Assembly election following provisional results from the July 30 vote, where the ruling party and allies secured a supermajority of over 50 seats in the 140-member chamber. Opposition parties like UNDP, KNK, and MLPC, which garnered 9.4%, 4.4%, and 3.8% respectively, largely boycotted amid disputed voter lists and insecurity, leading to numerous unopposed MCU victories. The National Elections Authority's announcement last week solidified this positioning, though final certification and potential legal challenges from opposition could introduce uncertainty before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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