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Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Market icon

Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Labor 40+ 100.0%

Labor 30–39 <1%

Labor 20–29 <1%

Labor 10–19 <1%

Polymarket

$552,244 Vol.

Labor 40+ 100.0%

Labor 30–39 <1%

Labor 20–29 <1%

Labor 10–19 <1%

Polymarket

$552,244 Vol.

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Labor 40+

$87,866 Vol.

Yes

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Labor 30–39

$48,255 Vol.

No

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Labor 20–29

$15,340 Vol.

No

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Labor 10–19

$8,891 Vol.

No

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Labor 1–9

$14,614 Vol.

No

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Coalition 0–9 (Tie)

$16,734 Vol.

No

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Coalition 10–19

$4,032 Vol.

No

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Coalition 20–29

$1,368 Vol.

No

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Coalition 30+

$351,899 Vol.

No

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Other

$3,244 Vol.

No

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30).

If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Volumen
$552,244
Fecha de finalización
3 may 2025
Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30).

If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Volumen
$552,244
Fecha de finalización
3 may 2025
Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Labor 40+" con 100%, seguido de "Labor 30–39" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" ha generado $552.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" es "Labor 40+" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Labor 30–39" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.