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Earthquakes Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Climate & Science

AllPandemicsWeatherSpaceEarthquakesHurricanesGlobal TempMeaslesNatural Disasters

Climate & Science

AllPandemicsWeatherSpaceEarthquakesHurricanesGlobal TempMeaslesNatural Disasters
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

<5

4%

Yes4%No96%

5–7

7%

Yes7%No93%

<5

4%

Yes4%No96%

5–7

7%

Yes7%No93%

$590k Vol.

Daily
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

20%

Yes20%No80%

1

63%

Yes63%No37%

0

20%

Yes20%No80%

1

63%

Yes63%No37%

$333k Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

2

1%

Yes1%No99%

3

4%

Yes4%No96%

2

1%

Yes1%No99%

3

4%

Yes4%No96%

$1m Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

No

$60k Vol.

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...? card icon

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

78%

chance

Yes

No

$269k Vol.

Daily
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$409k Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$129k Vol.

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