Space Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Climate & Science

Climate & Science

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch? card icon

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$40M

18%

$60M

10%

$40M

18%

$60M

10%

$126k Vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

9%

5-6

36%

<5

9%

5-6

36%

$48k Vol.

Daily
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

chance

$34k Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in January? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in January?

8

<1%

9

1%

8

<1%

9

1%

NEW

•

$71k Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

51%

chance

$136k Vol.

Daily
NASA Artemis II card icon

NASA Artemis II

February 7

47%

February 28

89%

February 7

47%

February 28

89%

NEW

Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

49%

chance

$86k Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

26%

chance

$69k Vol.

Daily
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

<100

5%

100-119

9%

<100

5%

100-119

9%

NEW