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Natural Disasters Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Climate & Science

AllPandemicsWeatherSpaceEarthquakesHurricanesGlobal TempMeaslesNatural Disasters

Climate & Science

AllPandemicsWeatherSpaceEarthquakesHurricanesGlobal TempMeaslesNatural Disasters
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

<5

4%

Yes4%No96%

5–7

7%

Yes7%No93%

<5

4%

Yes4%No96%

5–7

7%

Yes7%No93%

$590k Vol.

Daily
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 9 - Feb 15? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 9 - Feb 15?

0

74%

Yes74%No26%

1

20%

Yes20%No80%

0

74%

Yes74%No26%

1

20%

Yes20%No80%

$104k Vol.

Weekly
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

20%

Yes20%No80%

1

63%

Yes63%No37%

0

20%

Yes20%No80%

1

63%

Yes63%No37%

$333k Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

2

1%

Yes1%No99%

3

4%

Yes4%No96%

2

1%

Yes1%No99%

3

4%

Yes4%No96%

$1m Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in February? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in February?

<30

70%

Yes70%No30%

30–59

24%

Yes24%No76%

<30

70%

Yes70%No30%

30–59

24%

Yes24%No76%

$61k Vol.

Daily
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

48%

chance

Yes

No

$112k Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$232k Vol.

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$409k Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? card icon

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$25k Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$129k Vol.

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