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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
33%
chance
Yes
No
$2m Vol.
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
50%
María Corina Machado
15%
$1m Vol.
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
January 7
1%
January 31
4%
$6m Vol.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
SSC Napoli
74%
Hellas Verona FC
8%
DRAW
Hellas
$418k Vol.
Man City
65%
Brighton
14%
$573k Vol.
Palace
32%
Villa
40%
$512k Vol.
Raptors
54%
Hornets
47%
$452k Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
30%
Gavin Newsom
19%
$174m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
24%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
March 31
12%
$11m Vol.
Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price
>$4m
96%
>$5m
$3m Vol.
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
21%
Portugal Presidential Election
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
52%
António José Seguro (IND)
17%
$89m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets January 5 - January 7, 2026?
100-109
<1%
110-119
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Seattle
Los Angeles R
16%
$656m Vol.
Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
10%
$163m Vol.
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
January 10
2%
January 17
7%
$794k Vol.
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
<15B
15–20B
$116k Vol.
US strikes Iran by...?
26%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
31%
$590k Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Warsh
39%
$143m Vol.
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
23%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
45%
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