Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

22%

chance

$21m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

55%

chance

$2m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

44%

January 23

53%

January 18

44%

January 23

53%

$19m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

13%

chance

$80k Vol.

Nuggets

56%

Pelicans

45%

Q1 - 09:51

$4m Vol.

•NBA

Spurs

27%

Thunder

73%

Q1 - 11:31

$4m Vol.

•NBA

Flames

14%

Blue Jackets

86%

P2 - 11:24

$1m Vol.

•NHL

Maple Leafs

43%

Utah

57%

$1m Vol.

•NHL• 3:00 AM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$8m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

40%

chance

$8m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

$673m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

5%

May 14

9%

March 31

5%

May 14

9%

$346k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026?

40-64

7%

65-89

36%

40-64

7%

65-89

36%

$982k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

67%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

18%

António José Seguro (IND)

67%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

18%

$101m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

26%

Stephen Miran

13%

Pam Bondi

26%

Stephen Miran

13%

$785k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

27%

chance

$3m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

34%

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

34%

$179m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 14

11%

January 15

10%

January 14

11%

January 15

10%

$650k Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

69%

chance

$399k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

$5m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$316m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

29%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$184m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

43%

chance

$6m Vol.

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