Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

When will we know the US midterms results?

The New York Times

・

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find

Reuters

・

The races that will decide control of the US Senate

The Washington Post

・

The seven races that will decide control of the Senate

WSJ

・

See How Race Forecasters Project the Senate and House—and Pick Your Own Winners

BBC

・

When will we know the US midterms results?

The New York Times

・

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find

Reuters

・

The races that will decide control of the US Senate

The Washington Post

・

The seven races that will decide control of the Senate

WSJ

・

See How Race Forecasters Project the Senate and House—and Pick Your Own Winners

BBC

・

When will we know the US midterms results?

The New York Times

・

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find

Reuters

・

The races that will decide control of the US Senate

The Washington Post

・

The seven races that will decide control of the Senate

WSJ

・

See How Race Forecasters Project the Senate and House—and Pick Your Own Winners

Democratic Party 100%

Republican Party <1%

$31M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman

93%

Karen Bass

The New York Times

・

In L.A., a Stark Generational Divide May Determine the Mayor’s Race

The Washington Post

・

A big fight over the future of the Democratic Party is playing out in L.A.

AP News

・

After rough first term, LA Mayor Karen Bass fights for job against DSA-backed Nithya Raman

WSJ

・

After Mamdani in New York, Los Angeles Decides if It Wants a DSA Mayor, Too

Bloomberg.com

・

Billions Spent on LA Homelessness Weigh on Tight Mayor Race

The New York Times

・

In L.A., a Stark Generational Divide May Determine the Mayor’s Race

The Washington Post

・

A big fight over the future of the Democratic Party is playing out in L.A.

AP News

・

After rough first term, LA Mayor Karen Bass fights for job against DSA-backed Nithya Raman

WSJ

・

After Mamdani in New York, Los Angeles Decides if It Wants a DSA Mayor, Too

Bloomberg.com

・

Billions Spent on LA Homelessness Weigh on Tight Mayor Race

The New York Times

・

In L.A., a Stark Generational Divide May Determine the Mayor’s Race

The Washington Post

・

A big fight over the future of the Democratic Party is playing out in L.A.

AP News

・

After rough first term, LA Mayor Karen Bass fights for job against DSA-backed Nithya Raman

WSJ

・

After Mamdani in New York, Los Angeles Decides if It Wants a DSA Mayor, Too

Bloomberg.com

・

Billions Spent on LA Homelessness Weigh on Tight Mayor Race

Nithya Raman 93%

Karen Bass 7%

$18M Vol

Ends Jun 3, 2026·

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

89%

Reuters

・

Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

The New York Times

・

The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge. Can We Trust Them?

Bloomberg.com

・

US Polls Start Closing With House, Senate Control Up for Grabs

Bloomberg

・

Private Equity Is Boosting Republicans Over Democrats in Midterms

WSJ

・

Opinion | The 2026 Midterm Elections: Live Analysis and Commentary

Reuters

・

Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

The New York Times

・

The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge. Can We Trust Them?

Bloomberg.com

・

US Polls Start Closing With House, Senate Control Up for Grabs

Bloomberg

・

Private Equity Is Boosting Republicans Over Democrats in Midterms

WSJ

・

Opinion | The 2026 Midterm Elections: Live Analysis and Commentary

Reuters

・

Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

The New York Times

・

The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge. Can We Trust Them?

Bloomberg.com

・

US Polls Start Closing With House, Senate Control Up for Grabs

Bloomberg

・

Private Equity Is Boosting Republicans Over Democrats in Midterms

WSJ

・

Opinion | The 2026 Midterm Elections: Live Analysis and Commentary

45 89%

44 6%

46 6%

47 1%

$290K Vol

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

June 30, 2027

December 31, 2026

Opinion | Hegseth just showed again why he needs to go

CNN

・

Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House

The New York Times

・

Video: Obama Doubles Down on ‘Cheesecake Factory’ Jab

BBC

・

The US Senate races to watch in this year's midterm elections

AP News

・

After Election Day, Trump stares down the specter of Democratic probes and the race to succeed him

The Washington Post

・

Opinion | Hegseth just showed again why he needs to go

CNN

・

Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House

The New York Times

・

Video: Obama Doubles Down on ‘Cheesecake Factory’ Jab

BBC

・

The US Senate races to watch in this year's midterm elections

AP News

・

After Election Day, Trump stares down the specter of Democratic probes and the race to succeed him

The Washington Post

・

Opinion | Hegseth just showed again why he needs to go

CNN

・

Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House

The New York Times

・

Video: Obama Doubles Down on ‘Cheesecake Factory’ Jab

BBC

・

The US Senate races to watch in this year's midterm elections

AP News

・

After Election Day, Trump stares down the specter of Democratic probes and the race to succeed him

December 31, 2027 79%

June 30, 2027 68%

December 31, 2026 4%

$1M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

93%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Dustin Darden

<1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

<1%

BBC

・

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

The New York Times

・

Inside The Times’s Decisions on the Alaska Senate Race Story

The Washington Post

・

Sen. Dan Sullivan says he will accept Alaska’s election results even if he doesn’t win

AP News

・

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

WSJ

・

Alaska Governor Orders Probe Over Same-Name Senate Race Controversy

BBC

・

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

The New York Times

・

Inside The Times’s Decisions on the Alaska Senate Race Story

The Washington Post

・

Sen. Dan Sullivan says he will accept Alaska’s election results even if he doesn’t win

AP News

・

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

WSJ

・

Alaska Governor Orders Probe Over Same-Name Senate Race Controversy

BBC

・

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

The New York Times

・

Inside The Times’s Decisions on the Alaska Senate Race Story

The Washington Post

・

Sen. Dan Sullivan says he will accept Alaska’s election results even if he doesn’t win

AP News

・

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

WSJ

・

Alaska Governor Orders Probe Over Same-Name Senate Race Controversy

Mary Peltola (D) 93%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 7%

Dustin Darden <1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%

$3M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)

98%

Independent

Democrat

<1%

The New York Times

・

In Nebraska Senate Race, the Independent May Have an Identity Problem

AP News

・

2026 Nebraska Midterm Election Results

Bloomberg.com

・

Florida, Nebraska Senate Races Shift Left in Midterm Homestretch

Reuters

・

Investors poised for possible Democratic gains in Congress as US awaits election results

WSJ

・

Senate Election Results: Live Map of the 2026 Election

The New York Times

・

In Nebraska Senate Race, the Independent May Have an Identity Problem

AP News

・

2026 Nebraska Midterm Election Results

Bloomberg.com

・

Florida, Nebraska Senate Races Shift Left in Midterm Homestretch

Reuters

・

Investors poised for possible Democratic gains in Congress as US awaits election results

WSJ

・

Senate Election Results: Live Map of the 2026 Election

The New York Times

・

In Nebraska Senate Race, the Independent May Have an Identity Problem

AP News

・

2026 Nebraska Midterm Election Results

Bloomberg.com

・

Florida, Nebraska Senate Races Shift Left in Midterm Homestretch

Reuters

・

Investors poised for possible Democratic gains in Congress as US awaits election results

WSJ

・

Senate Election Results: Live Map of the 2026 Election

Pete Ricketts (R) 98%

Independent 2%

Democrat <1%

$4M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Jon Ossoff

JD Vance

Gavin Newsom

For Democrats Eyeing 2028, the First Test Is ‘Money, Money, Money’

BBC

・

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Bloomberg.com

・

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The Washington Post

・

Warnock says he plans 2028 run for ‘high office.’ He doesn’t say which one.

Reuters

・

Six things to watch as US voters decide control of Congress

The New York Times

・

For Democrats Eyeing 2028, the First Test Is ‘Money, Money, Money’

BBC

・

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Bloomberg.com

・

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The Washington Post

・

Warnock says he plans 2028 run for ‘high office.’ He doesn’t say which one.

Reuters

・

Six things to watch as US voters decide control of Congress

The New York Times

・

For Democrats Eyeing 2028, the First Test Is ‘Money, Money, Money’

BBC

・

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Bloomberg.com

・

Who Wants to Be US President in 2028? Pre-Midterm Moves Offer Clues

The Washington Post

・

Warnock says he plans 2028 run for ‘high office.’ He doesn’t say which one.

Reuters

・

Six things to watch as US voters decide control of Congress

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%

Jon Ossoff 17%

JD Vance 11%

Gavin Newsom 10%

$729M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None

92%

AK, MI

The New York Times

・

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find

Reuters

・

Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

AP News

・

2026 U.S. Senate Election Results

WSJ

・

Opinion | Your Guide to 2026 Midterm Election Night

Bloomberg.com

・

A Guide to the US Midterm Elections’ Biggest Questions

The New York Times

・

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find

Reuters

・

Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

AP News

・

2026 U.S. Senate Election Results

WSJ

・

Opinion | Your Guide to 2026 Midterm Election Night

Bloomberg.com

・

A Guide to the US Midterm Elections’ Biggest Questions

The New York Times

・

Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find

Reuters

・

Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide

AP News

・

2026 U.S. Senate Election Results

WSJ

・

Opinion | Your Guide to 2026 Midterm Election Night

Bloomberg.com

・

A Guide to the US Midterm Elections’ Biggest Questions

None 92%

AK 7%

AK, MI 3%

MI 1%

$76M Vol

Ends Nov 3, 2026·

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

1% chance

Yes No

The New York Times

・

On the Ballot in California: The Prospects for a National Wealth Tax

AP News

・

California could become the first state to tax billionaires’ wealth

Bloomberg.com

・

Affirm Billionaire Levchin Mulls Leaving California If Wealth Tax Passes

WSJ

・

The Four Academics Who Dreamed Up California’s Billionaire Tax Prop. 40

Reuters

・

From transgender rights to a billionaire tax: Key midterm ballot measures

The New York Times

・

On the Ballot in California: The Prospects for a National Wealth Tax

AP News

・

California could become the first state to tax billionaires’ wealth

Bloomberg.com

・

Affirm Billionaire Levchin Mulls Leaving California If Wealth Tax Passes

WSJ

・

The Four Academics Who Dreamed Up California’s Billionaire Tax Prop. 40

Reuters

・

From transgender rights to a billionaire tax: Key midterm ballot measures

The New York Times

・

On the Ballot in California: The Prospects for a National Wealth Tax

AP News

・

California could become the first state to tax billionaires’ wealth

Bloomberg.com

・

Affirm Billionaire Levchin Mulls Leaving California If Wealth Tax Passes

WSJ

・

The Four Academics Who Dreamed Up California’s Billionaire Tax Prop. 40

Reuters

・

From transgender rights to a billionaire tax: Key midterm ballot measures

$5M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Up28.57x Down1x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

$12M Vol

Live

All markets

2026 Midterms
Predictions

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

50%

Down

Live

ANTAnthropic Pre-IPO

$1,813.7+4.52%10xPerps

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Democratic Party

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$31M Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman

93%

Yes93%No7%

Karen Bass

Yes7%No93%

Nithya Raman

93%

Yes93%No7%

Karen Bass

Yes7%No93%

$18M Vol.

Heroic

13%

Team Falcons

88%

Heroic

Team

$2M Vol.

·CS2

Natus Vincere

89%

12%

Natus

$425K Vol.

·CS2

$500K rewards

LoL Worlds
Odds & Predictions

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

89%

89%

$290K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

79%

Yes79%No21%

June 30, 2027

68%

Yes68%No33%

December 31, 2027

79%

Yes79%No21%

June 30, 2027

68%

Yes68%No33%

$1M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

93%

Yes93%No7%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Yes7%No94%

Mary Peltola (D)

93%

Yes93%No7%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Yes7%No94%

$3M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No83%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Yes17%No83%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No83%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Yes17%No83%

$729M Vol.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None

92%

Yes92%No9%

Yes7%No93%

None

92%

Yes92%No9%

Yes7%No93%

$76M Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Independent

Yes2%No98%

Pete Ricketts (R)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Independent

Yes2%No98%

$4M Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

chance

Yes

$5M Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Cindy Holscher (D)

82%

Yes82%No19%

Ty Masterson (R)

17%

Yes17%No83%

Cindy Holscher (D)

82%

Yes82%No19%

Ty Masterson (R)

17%

Yes17%No83%

$695K Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

49%

Yes49%No51%

Benjamin Netanyahu

31%

Yes31%No70%

Gadi Eizenkot

49%

Yes49%No51%

Benjamin Netanyahu

31%

Yes31%No70%

$85M Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...? card icon

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

10%

chance

Yes

$503K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T

29%

Yes29%No71%

$1.5–$1.75T

24%

Yes24%No76%

$1.75–$2.0T

29%

Yes29%No71%

$1.5–$1.75T

24%

Yes24%No76%

$3M Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026

91%

Yes91%No9%

December 15, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

December 31, 2026

91%

Yes91%No9%

December 15, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

$6M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

76%

Yes76%No25%

No change

24%

Yes24%No77%

25 bps increase

76%

Yes76%No25%

No change

24%

Yes24%No77%

$12M Vol.

Monthly

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31

37%

Yes37%No64%

November 30

22%

Yes22%No79%

December 31

37%

Yes37%No64%

November 30

22%

Yes22%No79%

$3M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

64%

Yes64%No37%

December 31

42%

Yes42%No58%

March 31

64%

Yes64%No37%

December 31

42%

Yes42%No58%

$47M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 31

95%

Yes95%No5%

November 30

80%

Yes80%No21%

December 31

95%

Yes95%No5%

November 30

80%

Yes80%No21%

$1M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 1

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 2

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 1

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 2

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$44M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

40%

Yes40%No60%

David Lisnard

15%

Yes15%No85%

Marine Le Pen

40%

Yes40%No60%

David Lisnard

15%

Yes15%No85%

$165M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Democratic Party

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$61M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

James Talarico (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$22M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Gina Hinojosa (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Gina Hinojosa (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$7M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Mike Rogers (R)

Yes2%No98%

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Mike Rogers (R)

Yes2%No98%

$12M Vol.

Ohio

100%

Akron

Ohio

Akron

$2M Vol.

·College Football

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 2

100%

Yes100%No<1%

October 31

100%

Yes100%No<1%

November 2

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$39M Vol.

Monthly

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Troy Jackson (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$6M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

30%

Yes30%No70%

Marco Rubio

20%

Yes20%No81%

J.D. Vance

30%

Yes30%No70%

Marco Rubio

20%

Yes20%No81%

$723M Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Annie Andrews (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Annie Andrews (D)

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$4M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

22%

Yes22%No79%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

16%

Yes16%No84%

Jon Ossoff

22%

Yes22%No79%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

16%

Yes16%No84%

$1B Vol.

Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

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2026 MidtermsPredictions

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

Will Trump be impeached by...?

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO by __?

Fed Decision in December?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Next French Presidential Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Governor Election Winner

Michigan Senate Election Winner

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Maine Senate Election Winner

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

2026 Midterms
Predictions