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公平投注行为 预测与赔率

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Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

Lloyds

$500K 交易量

$33.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

11%

BMO

$22.3K 交易量

$70.2K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons

-

$0 交易量

$117 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)

Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)

Nevada Wolf Pack

$137 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

Colorado State Rams vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

Colorado State Rams vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

Colorado State Rams

$72 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

What will Trump say during Bret Baier interview?

What will Trump say during Bret Baier interview?

100%

Dumbocrat

$1M 交易量

$1M today

$3M Liq.

77

Ends 3 天前

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$79M 交易量

$904K today

$7M Liq.

7,121

Ends 5 个月内

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

40%

Naftali Bennett

$9M 交易量

$259K today

$1M Liq.

255

Ends 8 个月内

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

94%

June

$367K 交易量

$63.2K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M 交易量

$384K Liq.

34

Ends 5 个月内

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

84%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$321K 交易量

$89.4K Liq.

104

Ends 5 个月内

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

32%

Romeu Zema

$282K 交易量

$241K Liq.

46

Ends 5 个月内

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

86%

Giorgia Meloni

$484K 交易量

$125K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Who will Alexander Volkanovski fight next?

Who will Alexander Volkanovski fight next?

88%

Movsar Evloev

$6.0K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

46%

Bass & Raman

$100 交易量

$31.9K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

63%

Alexander Volkanovski

$13.4K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

79%

Max Holloway

$267K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

9

Ends 8 个月内

Morocco Botola Pro: Winner

Morocco Botola Pro: Winner

98%

RS Berkane

$0 交易量

$63 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

UFC: Who will Kevin Vallejos fight next?

UFC: Who will Kevin Vallejos fight next?

48%

Arnold Allen

$546 交易量

$69 Liq.

5

Ends 10 个月内

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

13%

$13.9K 交易量

$10.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 公平投注行为 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 630 个活跃的 公平投注行为 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Which banks will fail by June 30?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $94.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Brazil Presidential Election",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Brazil Presidential Election",市场目前认为 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 公平投注行为 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。