Elon Musk's consistent high-volume engagement on X has anchored trader sentiment for the May 12-19 window, with the 220-239 range commanding near-total market-implied odds. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on current events, and direct interaction with followers during active news cycles has historically produced similar weekly totals, reinforced by steady posting through mid-May without any reported slowdown or external constraints. The slim 0.1% chance of reaching 240-259 would require an unusually sustained burst of activity that exceeds recent benchmarks, while a dip below 220 remains improbable absent a sudden shift such as extended travel or platform changes. With the period concluding, any final late-week surge or quiet spell could still influence the exact tally before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$14,539,852 交易量
$14,539,852 交易量
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$14,539,852 交易量
$14,539,852 交易量
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Elon Musk's consistent high-volume engagement on X has anchored trader sentiment for the May 12-19 window, with the 220-239 range commanding near-total market-implied odds. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on current events, and direct interaction with followers during active news cycles has historically produced similar weekly totals, reinforced by steady posting through mid-May without any reported slowdown or external constraints. The slim 0.1% chance of reaching 240-259 would require an unusually sustained burst of activity that exceeds recent benchmarks, while a dip below 220 remains improbable absent a sudden shift such as extended travel or platform changes. With the period concluding, any final late-week surge or quiet spell could still influence the exact tally before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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