Traders have converged overwhelmingly on the 65-89 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, 2026, driven by his well-documented pattern of high-volume posting on X. Musk routinely engages directly with followers through dozens of daily updates on technology, policy, and real-time events, a pace that has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods without major disruptions. With the window now concluding, observed activity levels have remained consistent with this established rhythm rather than accelerating into outlier territory. An upset into the 90-114 bucket would require an unusually sustained burst of announcements or replies, something Musk has demonstrated he can deliver on occasion but has not yet materialized here.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于65-89 100.0%
少于40条 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,406,733 交易量
$2,406,733 交易量
少于40条
否
40-64
否
65-89
是
90-114
否
115-139
否
140-164
否
165-189
否
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
少于40条 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,406,733 交易量
$2,406,733 交易量
少于40条
否
40-64
否
65-89
是
90-114
否
115-139
否
140-164
否
165-189
否
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged overwhelmingly on the 65-89 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, 2026, driven by his well-documented pattern of high-volume posting on X. Musk routinely engages directly with followers through dozens of daily updates on technology, policy, and real-time events, a pace that has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods without major disruptions. With the window now concluding, observed activity levels have remained consistent with this established rhythm rather than accelerating into outlier territory. An upset into the 90-114 bucket would require an unusually sustained burst of announcements or replies, something Musk has demonstrated he can deliver on occasion but has not yet materialized here.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题