Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in the October 4, 2026 first round, with recent national polls consistently placing him and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party as the clear top two contenders. Flávio, endorsed by his father Jair Bolsonaro who remains ineligible due to legal barriers, has closed the gap in both first-round and runoff simulations, often tying or narrowly trailing Lula amid voter concerns over the economy and security. Other declared or potential candidates, including Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register low single-digit support and split the remaining vote. Official candidacies finalize in July ahead of the October 25 runoff if no candidate secures an outright majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$374,295 交易量
2026-10-04
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
79%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
63%
费尔南多·阿达
10%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
4%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
4%
雅伊尔·博索纳罗
3%
$374,295 交易量
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$164,239 交易量
79%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$35,625 交易量
63%
费尔南多·阿达
$56,272 交易量
10%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$27,333 交易量
4%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$78,200 交易量
4%
雅伊尔·博索纳罗
$12,625 交易量
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in the October 4, 2026 first round, with recent national polls consistently placing him and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party as the clear top two contenders. Flávio, endorsed by his father Jair Bolsonaro who remains ineligible due to legal barriers, has closed the gap in both first-round and runoff simulations, often tying or narrowly trailing Lula amid voter concerns over the economy and security. Other declared or potential candidates, including Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register low single-digit support and split the remaining vote. Official candidacies finalize in July ahead of the October 25 runoff if no candidate secures an outright majority.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$374,295结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in the October 4, 2026 first round, with recent national polls consistently placing him and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party as the clear top two contenders. Flávio, endorsed by his father Jair Bolsonaro who remains ineligible due to legal barriers, has closed the gap in both first-round and runoff simulations, often tying or narrowly trailing Lula amid voter concerns over the economy and security. Other declared or potential candidates, including Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register low single-digit support and split the remaining vote. Official candidacies finalize in July ahead of the October 25 runoff if no candidate secures an outright majority.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$374,295结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in the October 4, 2026 first round, with recent national polls consistently placing him and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party as the clear top two contenders. Flávio, endorsed by his father Jair Bolsonaro who remains ineligible due to legal barriers, has closed the gap in both first-round and runoff simulations, often tying or narrowly trailing Lula amid voter concerns over the economy and security. Other declared or potential candidates, including Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos, register low single-digit support and split the remaining vote. Official candidacies finalize in July ahead of the October 25 runoff if no candidate secures an outright majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题