Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls show him rising to 3–7 percent amid a polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos has drawn youth support and blank-ballot voters through intensive social-media campaigning and an anti-establishment platform positioned outside traditional Bolsonarism. Governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado trail nationally but retain regional bases that could consolidate into third-place finishes if Santos momentum stalls. Fernando Haddad and lower-polling names remain further back in surveys, reflecting the fragmented field that keeps every contender well below a first-round majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 45%
罗梅乌·泽马 22%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 16%
费尔南多·阿达 10.3%
$317,782 交易量
$317,782 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
45%
罗梅乌·泽马
22%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
16%
费尔南多·阿达
11%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
8%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
5%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
5%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 45%
罗梅乌·泽马 22%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 16%
费尔南多·阿达 10.3%
$317,782 交易量
$317,782 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$75,984 交易量
45%
罗梅乌·泽马
$12,554 交易量
22%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$20,903 交易量
16%
费尔南多·阿达
$16,035 交易量
11%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$9,370 交易量
8%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$5,826 交易量
5%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$6,549 交易量
5%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$7,750 交易量
1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$95,696 交易量
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$4,777 交易量
1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$5,250 交易量
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$40,762 交易量
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$4,825 交易量
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$4,872 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$1,616 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$3,707 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$1,306 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls show him rising to 3–7 percent amid a polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos has drawn youth support and blank-ballot voters through intensive social-media campaigning and an anti-establishment platform positioned outside traditional Bolsonarism. Governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado trail nationally but retain regional bases that could consolidate into third-place finishes if Santos momentum stalls. Fernando Haddad and lower-polling names remain further back in surveys, reflecting the fragmented field that keeps every contender well below a first-round majority.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$317,782结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls show him rising to 3–7 percent amid a polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos has drawn youth support and blank-ballot voters through intensive social-media campaigning and an anti-establishment platform positioned outside traditional Bolsonarism. Governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado trail nationally but retain regional bases that could consolidate into third-place finishes if Santos momentum stalls. Fernando Haddad and lower-polling names remain further back in surveys, reflecting the fragmented field that keeps every contender well below a first-round majority.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$317,782结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls show him rising to 3–7 percent amid a polarized contest between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos has drawn youth support and blank-ballot voters through intensive social-media campaigning and an anti-establishment platform positioned outside traditional Bolsonarism. Governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado trail nationally but retain regional bases that could consolidate into third-place finishes if Santos momentum stalls. Fernando Haddad and lower-polling names remain further back in surveys, reflecting the fragmented field that keeps every contender well below a first-round majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题