Trader consensus strongly favors PL to claim the most seats in Brazil's 2026 Senate election, which renews 27 of 81 seats, due to the party's dominant performance in the October 2024 municipal elections—securing the highest number of city councilors nationwide (over 5,800) and multiple key mayoralties in state capitals. This right-wing momentum, led by former President Bolsonaro's allies, has boosted PL's incumbency advantages and candidate pipelines in competitive states. MDB holds second place with consistent regional strongholds in the Northeast and Center-West, while evangelical-backed REPUBLICANOS and center-right PP benefit from similar local gains. PT trails amid President Lula's administration facing economic headwinds and coalition strains, with no major shifts in recent polls altering the hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于PL 72%
巴西民主运动党（MDB） 11%
社会民主党（PSD） 4.0%
我们可以党 4.0%
$239,645 交易量
$239,645 交易量
Oct 4, 2026
PL
72%
巴西民主运动党（MDB）
11%
社会民主党（PSD）
4%
我们可以党
4%
劳工党（PT）
4%
UNIÃO
2%
巴西社会党（PSB）
1%
NOVO
1%
进步党（PP）
7%
PSDB
6%
共和党
9%
PDT
6%
PL 72%
巴西民主运动党（MDB） 11%
社会民主党（PSD） 4.0%
我们可以党 4.0%
$239,645 交易量
$239,645 交易量
Oct 4, 2026
PL
$239,645 交易量
72%
巴西民主运动党（MDB）
$0 交易量
11%
社会民主党（PSD）
$0 交易量
4%
我们可以党
$0 交易量
4%
劳工党（PT）
$0 交易量
4%
UNIÃO
$0 交易量
2%
巴西社会党（PSB）
$0 交易量
1%
NOVO
$0 交易量
1%
进步党（PP）
$0 交易量
7%
PSDB
$0 交易量
6%
共和党
$0 交易量
9%
PDT
$0 交易量
6%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus strongly favors PL to claim the most seats in Brazil's 2026 Senate election, which renews 27 of 81 seats, due to the party's dominant performance in the October 2024 municipal elections—securing the highest number of city councilors nationwide (over 5,800) and multiple key mayoralties in state capitals. This right-wing momentum, led by former President Bolsonaro's allies, has boosted PL's incumbency advantages and candidate pipelines in competitive states. MDB holds second place with consistent regional strongholds in the Northeast and Center-West, while evangelical-backed REPUBLICANOS and center-right PP benefit from similar local gains. PT trails amid President Lula's administration facing economic headwinds and coalition strains, with no major shifts in recent polls altering the hierarchy.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$239,645结束日期
Oct 4, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus strongly favors PL to claim the most seats in Brazil's 2026 Senate election, which renews 27 of 81 seats, due to the party's dominant performance in the October 2024 municipal elections—securing the highest number of city councilors nationwide (over 5,800) and multiple key mayoralties in state capitals. This right-wing momentum, led by former President Bolsonaro's allies, has boosted PL's incumbency advantages and candidate pipelines in competitive states. MDB holds second place with consistent regional strongholds in the Northeast and Center-West, while evangelical-backed REPUBLICANOS and center-right PP benefit from similar local gains. PT trails amid President Lula's administration facing economic headwinds and coalition strains, with no major shifts in recent polls altering the hierarchy.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$239,645结束日期
Oct 4, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors PL to claim the most seats in Brazil's 2026 Senate election, which renews 27 of 81 seats, due to the party's dominant performance in the October 2024 municipal elections—securing the highest number of city councilors nationwide (over 5,800) and multiple key mayoralties in state capitals. This right-wing momentum, led by former President Bolsonaro's allies, has boosted PL's incumbency advantages and candidate pipelines in competitive states. MDB holds second place with consistent regional strongholds in the Northeast and Center-West, while evangelical-backed REPUBLICANOS and center-right PP benefit from similar local gains. PT trails amid President Lula's administration facing economic headwinds and coalition strains, with no major shifts in recent polls altering the hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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