Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% for any STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, driven by steep procedural barriers—absolute majority in the Chamber of Deputies to authorize, followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, thresholds never met historically—and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's resistance to advancing over 90 pending requests. Recent Banco Master scandal revelations, including ties to Justices Dias Toffoli and Alexandre de Moraes, fueled 11 new 2026 filings and a March poll showing 83% public support for Toffoli's impeachment, yet STF assessments indicate processes and related CPI remain suspended through congressional recess and pre-election dynamics, with momentum eyed for 2027. Eduardo Bolsonaro's March 27 threat remains prospective, tied to hypothetical PL victories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$54,134 交易量
$54,134 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$54,134 交易量
$54,134 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% for any STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, driven by steep procedural barriers—absolute majority in the Chamber of Deputies to authorize, followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, thresholds never met historically—and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's resistance to advancing over 90 pending requests. Recent Banco Master scandal revelations, including ties to Justices Dias Toffoli and Alexandre de Moraes, fueled 11 new 2026 filings and a March poll showing 83% public support for Toffoli's impeachment, yet STF assessments indicate processes and related CPI remain suspended through congressional recess and pre-election dynamics, with momentum eyed for 2027. Eduardo Bolsonaro's March 27 threat remains prospective, tied to hypothetical PL victories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$54,134结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% for any STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, driven by steep procedural barriers—absolute majority in the Chamber of Deputies to authorize, followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, thresholds never met historically—and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's resistance to advancing over 90 pending requests. Recent Banco Master scandal revelations, including ties to Justices Dias Toffoli and Alexandre de Moraes, fueled 11 new 2026 filings and a March poll showing 83% public support for Toffoli's impeachment, yet STF assessments indicate processes and related CPI remain suspended through congressional recess and pre-election dynamics, with momentum eyed for 2027. Eduardo Bolsonaro's March 27 threat remains prospective, tied to hypothetical PL victories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$54,134结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% for any STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, driven by steep procedural barriers—absolute majority in the Chamber of Deputies to authorize, followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, thresholds never met historically—and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's resistance to advancing over 90 pending requests. Recent Banco Master scandal revelations, including ties to Justices Dias Toffoli and Alexandre de Moraes, fueled 11 new 2026 filings and a March poll showing 83% public support for Toffoli's impeachment, yet STF assessments indicate processes and related CPI remain suspended through congressional recess and pre-election dynamics, with momentum eyed for 2027. Eduardo Bolsonaro's March 27 threat remains prospective, tied to hypothetical PL victories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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