Supreme Court oral arguments on December 8, 2025, in Trump v. Slaughter signaled strong conservative majority support for ruling that for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers, allowing presidents to fire them at will and potentially overturning the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This follows the Court's September 2025 stay permitting President Trump's March firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter despite a district court reinstatement order. With no further developments since arguments, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 85%, reflecting expectations of a decisive ruling by mid-2026 amid challenges to independent agency structures, though the opinion's breadth could influence broader FTC authority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$20,689 交易量
$20,689 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$20,689 交易量
$20,689 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Supreme Court oral arguments on December 8, 2025, in Trump v. Slaughter signaled strong conservative majority support for ruling that for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers, allowing presidents to fire them at will and potentially overturning the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This follows the Court's September 2025 stay permitting President Trump's March firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter despite a district court reinstatement order. With no further developments since arguments, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 85%, reflecting expectations of a decisive ruling by mid-2026 amid challenges to independent agency structures, though the opinion's breadth could influence broader FTC authority.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
交易量
$20,689结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Supreme Court oral arguments on December 8, 2025, in Trump v. Slaughter signaled strong conservative majority support for ruling that for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers, allowing presidents to fire them at will and potentially overturning the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This follows the Court's September 2025 stay permitting President Trump's March firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter despite a district court reinstatement order. With no further developments since arguments, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 85%, reflecting expectations of a decisive ruling by mid-2026 amid challenges to independent agency structures, though the opinion's breadth could influence broader FTC authority.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$20,689结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court oral arguments on December 8, 2025, in Trump v. Slaughter signaled strong conservative majority support for ruling that for-cause removal protections for Federal Trade Commission commissioners violate separation of powers, allowing presidents to fire them at will and potentially overturning the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent. This follows the Court's September 2025 stay permitting President Trump's March firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter despite a district court reinstatement order. With no further developments since arguments, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 85%, reflecting expectations of a decisive ruling by mid-2026 amid challenges to independent agency structures, though the opinion's breadth could influence broader FTC authority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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