Supreme Court oral arguments on December 8, 2025, in Trump v. Slaughter signaled strong support among the conservative majority for President Trump's authority to remove Federal Trade Commission commissioners at will, challenging the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent that limited such dismissals to for-cause only. This follows the Court's 6-3 grant of a stay on September 22, 2025, allowing Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter's firing to stand pending full review. Trader consensus at 91.2% Yes reflects these developments and historical patterns of recent rulings expanding executive power over independent agencies, though a final decision is expected by late June or early July 2026 and could shift on dissent or reconsideration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$20,754 交易量
$20,754 交易量
是
$20,754 交易量
$20,754 交易量
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court oral arguments on December 8, 2025, in Trump v. Slaughter signaled strong support among the conservative majority for President Trump's authority to remove Federal Trade Commission commissioners at will, challenging the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent that limited such dismissals to for-cause only. This follows the Court's 6-3 grant of a stay on September 22, 2025, allowing Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter's firing to stand pending full review. Trader consensus at 91.2% Yes reflects these developments and historical patterns of recent rulings expanding executive power over independent agencies, though a final decision is expected by late June or early July 2026 and could shift on dissent or reconsideration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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