Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 27.1% slightly ahead of 20-30 years at 25.1%, reflecting uncertainty ahead of his third New York rape retrial starting April 14. The upheld June 2025 conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—yet unsentenced—pairs with an ongoing appeal of his 16-year California rape term, while over seven years of pretrial custody fuels bets on time served sufficing. Recent catalysts include March court confirmation of the trial date, a new legal team in February, and stalled January plea talks, amplifying volatility amid Weinstein's age, health woes, and #MeToo case precedents of mistrials and reversals. Resolution hinges on trial outcome and sentencing milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 27.1%
20-30年 25.1%
10-20年 19.6%
5-10年 11.3%
$696,824 交易量
$696,824 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
27%
少于5年
7%
5-10年
11%
10-20年
20%
20-30年
25%
30年以上
8%
无监禁时间 27.1%
20-30年 25.1%
10-20年 19.6%
5-10年 11.3%
$696,824 交易量
$696,824 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$294,809 交易量
27%
少于5年
$51,215 交易量
7%
5-10年
$37,776 交易量
11%
10-20年
$122,839 交易量
20%
20-30年
$153,337 交易量
25%
30年以上
$36,849 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 27.1% slightly ahead of 20-30 years at 25.1%, reflecting uncertainty ahead of his third New York rape retrial starting April 14. The upheld June 2025 conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—yet unsentenced—pairs with an ongoing appeal of his 16-year California rape term, while over seven years of pretrial custody fuels bets on time served sufficing. Recent catalysts include March court confirmation of the trial date, a new legal team in February, and stalled January plea talks, amplifying volatility amid Weinstein's age, health woes, and #MeToo case precedents of mistrials and reversals. Resolution hinges on trial outcome and sentencing milestones.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$696,824结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 27.1% slightly ahead of 20-30 years at 25.1%, reflecting uncertainty ahead of his third New York rape retrial starting April 14. The upheld June 2025 conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—yet unsentenced—pairs with an ongoing appeal of his 16-year California rape term, while over seven years of pretrial custody fuels bets on time served sufficing. Recent catalysts include March court confirmation of the trial date, a new legal team in February, and stalled January plea talks, amplifying volatility amid Weinstein's age, health woes, and #MeToo case precedents of mistrials and reversals. Resolution hinges on trial outcome and sentencing milestones.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$696,824结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 27.1% slightly ahead of 20-30 years at 25.1%, reflecting uncertainty ahead of his third New York rape retrial starting April 14. The upheld June 2025 conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—yet unsentenced—pairs with an ongoing appeal of his 16-year California rape term, while over seven years of pretrial custody fuels bets on time served sufficing. Recent catalysts include March court confirmation of the trial date, a new legal team in February, and stalled January plea talks, amplifying volatility amid Weinstein's age, health woes, and #MeToo case precedents of mistrials and reversals. Resolution hinges on trial outcome and sentencing milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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