Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20-30 years (32.6%) and no prison time (31.6%) for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting high uncertainty in his ongoing #MeToo-era legal saga amid his frail health at age 74. He's serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while detained at Rikers Island for New York's third retrial on a 2013 rape charge against Jessica Mann—up to 25 years if convicted—following 2024's conviction overturn and a 2025 split verdict with mistrial. Recent testimony disputes over PTSD evidence and emails as of May 7 underscore procedural volatility, mirroring past appeals successes; a verdict expected soon could swing odds, with appeals or compassionate release as key differentiators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
20-30年 32.6%
无监禁时间 31.6%
10-20年 14.5%
30年以上 8.0%
$912,130 交易量
$912,130 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
32%
少于5年
7%
5-10年
4%
10-20年
15%
20-30年
33%
30年以上
8%
20-30年 32.6%
无监禁时间 31.6%
10-20年 14.5%
30年以上 8.0%
$912,130 交易量
$912,130 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$327,826 交易量
32%
少于5年
$118,853 交易量
7%
5-10年
$69,362 交易量
4%
10-20年
$146,923 交易量
15%
20-30年
$185,673 交易量
33%
30年以上
$63,494 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20-30 years (32.6%) and no prison time (31.6%) for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting high uncertainty in his ongoing #MeToo-era legal saga amid his frail health at age 74. He's serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while detained at Rikers Island for New York's third retrial on a 2013 rape charge against Jessica Mann—up to 25 years if convicted—following 2024's conviction overturn and a 2025 split verdict with mistrial. Recent testimony disputes over PTSD evidence and emails as of May 7 underscore procedural volatility, mirroring past appeals successes; a verdict expected soon could swing odds, with appeals or compassionate release as key differentiators.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$912,130结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20-30 years (32.6%) and no prison time (31.6%) for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting high uncertainty in his ongoing #MeToo-era legal saga amid his frail health at age 74. He's serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while detained at Rikers Island for New York's third retrial on a 2013 rape charge against Jessica Mann—up to 25 years if convicted—following 2024's conviction overturn and a 2025 split verdict with mistrial. Recent testimony disputes over PTSD evidence and emails as of May 7 underscore procedural volatility, mirroring past appeals successes; a verdict expected soon could swing odds, with appeals or compassionate release as key differentiators.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$912,130结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20-30 years (32.6%) and no prison time (31.6%) for Harvey Weinstein, reflecting high uncertainty in his ongoing #MeToo-era legal saga amid his frail health at age 74. He's serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while detained at Rikers Island for New York's third retrial on a 2013 rape charge against Jessica Mann—up to 25 years if convicted—following 2024's conviction overturn and a 2025 split verdict with mistrial. Recent testimony disputes over PTSD evidence and emails as of May 7 underscore procedural volatility, mirroring past appeals successes; a verdict expected soon could swing odds, with appeals or compassionate release as key differentiators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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