Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo-era legal saga, with no prison time edging out at 27.1% amid a delayed New York retrial on a key rape charge—now in limbo due to his lawyer's scheduling conflict with the Luigi Mangione case—and January reports of plea negotiations on the unresolved count. A June 2025 partial verdict delivered a guilty finding for criminal sexual act (up to 25 years possible) but a mistrial and acquittal on others, while his California 16-year rape sentence appeal lingers unresolved. At 73 and battling leukemia plus heart issues, health pleas add volatility; upcoming April hearings could reset timelines, with sentencing or retrial outcomes as pivotal swing factors in this fragmented field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 27.1%
20-30年 22.4%
10-20年 19.4%
5-10年 10.3%
$697,867 交易量
$697,867 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
27%
少于5年
8%
5-10年
10%
10-20年
19%
20-30年
22%
30年以上
9%
无监禁时间 27.1%
20-30年 22.4%
10-20年 19.4%
5-10年 10.3%
$697,867 交易量
$697,867 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$294,939 交易量
27%
少于5年
$51,553 交易量
8%
5-10年
$37,837 交易量
10%
10-20年
$123,003 交易量
19%
20-30年
$153,409 交易量
22%
30年以上
$37,130 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo-era legal saga, with no prison time edging out at 27.1% amid a delayed New York retrial on a key rape charge—now in limbo due to his lawyer's scheduling conflict with the Luigi Mangione case—and January reports of plea negotiations on the unresolved count. A June 2025 partial verdict delivered a guilty finding for criminal sexual act (up to 25 years possible) but a mistrial and acquittal on others, while his California 16-year rape sentence appeal lingers unresolved. At 73 and battling leukemia plus heart issues, health pleas add volatility; upcoming April hearings could reset timelines, with sentencing or retrial outcomes as pivotal swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$697,867结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo-era legal saga, with no prison time edging out at 27.1% amid a delayed New York retrial on a key rape charge—now in limbo due to his lawyer's scheduling conflict with the Luigi Mangione case—and January reports of plea negotiations on the unresolved count. A June 2025 partial verdict delivered a guilty finding for criminal sexual act (up to 25 years possible) but a mistrial and acquittal on others, while his California 16-year rape sentence appeal lingers unresolved. At 73 and battling leukemia plus heart issues, health pleas add volatility; upcoming April hearings could reset timelines, with sentencing or retrial outcomes as pivotal swing factors in this fragmented field.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$697,867结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo-era legal saga, with no prison time edging out at 27.1% amid a delayed New York retrial on a key rape charge—now in limbo due to his lawyer's scheduling conflict with the Luigi Mangione case—and January reports of plea negotiations on the unresolved count. A June 2025 partial verdict delivered a guilty finding for criminal sexual act (up to 25 years possible) but a mistrial and acquittal on others, while his California 16-year rape sentence appeal lingers unresolved. At 73 and battling leukemia plus heart issues, health pleas add volatility; upcoming April hearings could reset timelines, with sentencing or retrial outcomes as pivotal swing factors in this fragmented field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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