**Ongoing legal proceedings in New York and California, combined with Weinstein’s age and health issues, are shaping trader views on additional prison time.** A recent mistrial in the Manhattan retrial on the Jessica Mann rape charge—following a 2025 mixed verdict and prior overturned conviction—leaves that count unresolved pending prosecutors’ decision on another retrial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers while appealing his separate 16-year California rape conviction, with any new New York sentence potentially running concurrently or offset by time already served since 2020. His reported health challenges, including recent court-related illness, add uncertainty around sentencing outcomes in the closely watched cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间?
无监禁时间 68.0%
20-30年 9.7%
10-20年 6.1%
少于5年 3.8%
$1,057,563 交易量
$1,057,563 交易量
无监禁时间
68%
少于5年
4%
5-10年
2%
10-20年
6%
20-30年
10%
30年以上
3%
无监禁时间 68.0%
20-30年 9.7%
10-20年 6.1%
少于5年 3.8%
$1,057,563 交易量
$1,057,563 交易量
无监禁时间
68%
少于5年
4%
5-10年
2%
10-20年
6%
20-30年
10%
30年以上
3%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Ongoing legal proceedings in New York and California, combined with Weinstein’s age and health issues, are shaping trader views on additional prison time.** A recent mistrial in the Manhattan retrial on the Jessica Mann rape charge—following a 2025 mixed verdict and prior overturned conviction—leaves that count unresolved pending prosecutors’ decision on another retrial. Weinstein remains incarcerated at Rikers while appealing his separate 16-year California rape conviction, with any new New York sentence potentially running concurrently or offset by time already served since 2020. His reported health challenges, including recent court-related illness, add uncertainty around sentencing outcomes in the closely watched cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题