**Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in a January 2026 raid on Caracas and held in Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center, faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges carrying potential life sentences.** He and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set. Defense counsel is advancing head-of-state immunity arguments and challenging the legality of the military seizure, with a key hearing scheduled for November 2026. These motions, combined with procedural complexities around extraterritorial capture and foreign-official status, underpin trader consensus that dismissal or acquittal remains the most probable path. A conviction on core counts would expose him to decades or life imprisonment, reflected in the secondary probability on long sentences. Argentina’s recent extradition request adds another layer of jurisdictional uncertainty without altering the near-term U.S. proceedings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马杜罗监狱时间？
马杜罗监狱时间？
无监禁 54%
60年以上 32%
少于20年 11.6%
20-40 1.8%
$891,698 交易量
$891,698 交易量
2027-12-31
无监禁
54%
少于20年
12%
20-40
2%
40–60
1%
60年以上
32%
无监禁 54%
60年以上 32%
少于20年 11.6%
20-40 1.8%
$891,698 交易量
$891,698 交易量
2027-12-31
无监禁
$529,806 交易量
54%
少于20年
$113,533 交易量
12%
20-40
$60,772 交易量
2%
40–60
$28,075 交易量
1%
60年以上
$159,513 交易量
32%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in a January 2026 raid on Caracas and held in Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center, faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges carrying potential life sentences.** He and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set. Defense counsel is advancing head-of-state immunity arguments and challenging the legality of the military seizure, with a key hearing scheduled for November 2026. These motions, combined with procedural complexities around extraterritorial capture and foreign-official status, underpin trader consensus that dismissal or acquittal remains the most probable path. A conviction on core counts would expose him to decades or life imprisonment, reflected in the secondary probability on long sentences. Argentina’s recent extradition request adds another layer of jurisdictional uncertainty without altering the near-term U.S. proceedings.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
交易量
$891,698结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETVenezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in a January 2026 raid on Caracas and held in Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center, faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges carrying potential life sentences.** He and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set. Defense counsel is advancing head-of-state immunity arguments and challenging the legality of the military seizure, with a key hearing scheduled for November 2026. These motions, combined with procedural complexities around extraterritorial capture and foreign-official status, underpin trader consensus that dismissal or acquittal remains the most probable path. A conviction on core counts would expose him to decades or life imprisonment, reflected in the secondary probability on long sentences. Argentina’s recent extradition request adds another layer of jurisdictional uncertainty without altering the near-term U.S. proceedings.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$891,698结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET**Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in a January 2026 raid on Caracas and held in Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center, faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges carrying potential life sentences.** He and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set. Defense counsel is advancing head-of-state immunity arguments and challenging the legality of the military seizure, with a key hearing scheduled for November 2026. These motions, combined with procedural complexities around extraterritorial capture and foreign-official status, underpin trader consensus that dismissal or acquittal remains the most probable path. A conviction on core counts would expose him to decades or life imprisonment, reflected in the secondary probability on long sentences. Argentina’s recent extradition request adds another layer of jurisdictional uncertainty without altering the near-term U.S. proceedings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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