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删除 预测与赔率

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Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

1%

$87.9K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

15%

$27.4K 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

18

Ends 8 个月内

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

23%

Overpass

$711K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

6

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

36%

June 30

$129K 交易量

$34.5K Liq.

6

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

18%

December 31

$14.7K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

91%

$21.4K 交易量

$18.5K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

22%

$65.3K 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

51%

$48.2K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

14%

May 31

$2.7K 交易量

$26.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

3%

$51.8K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

3

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$65.8K 交易量

$15.0K Liq.

25

Ends 8 个月内

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

9%

$23.1K 交易量

$25.1K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

31%

December 31

$13M 交易量

$205K today

$238K Liq.

1,072

Ends 8 个月内

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$738K 交易量

$306K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M 交易量

$51.5K today

$359K Liq.

33

Ends 8 个月内

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M 交易量

$61.1K today

$127K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M 交易量

$481K Liq.

705

Ends 8 个月内

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

21%

$368K 交易量

$23.5K Liq.

139

Ends 24 天内

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M 交易量

$98.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%

$5M 交易量

$418K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 删除 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 160 个活跃的 删除 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $152.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 删除 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。