Anthropic’s June 2026 release of Claude Fable 5, its most capable generally available large language model, faced immediate disruption when U.S. export controls required disabling access for all users to comply with national security rules. After controls lifted, the company restored the model on July 1 with temporary included usage on paid Pro, Max, and Team plans through mid-July, then shifted most access to usage credits. Competitive pressure from rival frontier models prompted a July 18 reversal, permanently embedding Fable 5 at 50% limits in Max and Team Premium subscriptions while keeping lower tiers on credits. Traders are monitoring any future regulatory shifts or compute constraints that could still force further subscription changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$46,138 交易量
2026-08-16
8月16日
23%
8月31日
39%
$46,138 交易量
8月16日
$184 交易量
23%
8月31日
$46 交易量
39%
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 2026 release of Claude Fable 5, its most capable generally available large language model, faced immediate disruption when U.S. export controls required disabling access for all users to comply with national security rules. After controls lifted, the company restored the model on July 1 with temporary included usage on paid Pro, Max, and Team plans through mid-July, then shifted most access to usage credits. Competitive pressure from rival frontier models prompted a July 18 reversal, permanently embedding Fable 5 at 50% limits in Max and Team Premium subscriptions while keeping lower tiers on credits. Traders are monitoring any future regulatory shifts or compute constraints that could still force further subscription changes.
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$46,138结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 2026 release of Claude Fable 5, its most capable generally available large language model, faced immediate disruption when U.S. export controls required disabling access for all users to comply with national security rules. After controls lifted, the company restored the model on July 1 with temporary included usage on paid Pro, Max, and Team plans through mid-July, then shifted most access to usage credits. Competitive pressure from rival frontier models prompted a July 18 reversal, permanently embedding Fable 5 at 50% limits in Max and Team Premium subscriptions while keeping lower tiers on credits. Traders are monitoring any future regulatory shifts or compute constraints that could still force further subscription changes.
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$46,138结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 2026 release of Claude Fable 5, its most capable generally available large language model, faced immediate disruption when U.S. export controls required disabling access for all users to comply with national security rules. After controls lifted, the company restored the model on July 1 with temporary included usage on paid Pro, Max, and Team plans through mid-July, then shifted most access to usage credits. Competitive pressure from rival frontier models prompted a July 18 reversal, permanently embedding Fable 5 at 50% limits in Max and Team Premium subscriptions while keeping lower tiers on credits. Traders are monitoring any future regulatory shifts or compute constraints that could still force further subscription changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题