Traders' 82% implied probability for Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) reflects the stalled impeachment momentum despite a surge in Senate petitions—reaching 97 targeting him over the "Banco Master" scandal involving alleged ties to a failed bank. No petitions have advanced beyond filing, as STF justices require a two-thirds Senate vote for removal, a high procedural bar rarely met. Recent rulings by Moraes, including denying former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison visits and house arrest extensions in January-March 2026, underscore his continued authority amid scrutiny. Ongoing Bolsonaro coup trial oversight reinforces trader consensus on his entrenched position absent major legislative breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$17,333 交易量
$17,333 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$17,333 交易量
$17,333 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders' 82% implied probability for Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) reflects the stalled impeachment momentum despite a surge in Senate petitions—reaching 97 targeting him over the "Banco Master" scandal involving alleged ties to a failed bank. No petitions have advanced beyond filing, as STF justices require a two-thirds Senate vote for removal, a high procedural bar rarely met. Recent rulings by Moraes, including denying former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison visits and house arrest extensions in January-March 2026, underscore his continued authority amid scrutiny. Ongoing Bolsonaro coup trial oversight reinforces trader consensus on his entrenched position absent major legislative breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$17,333结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders' 82% implied probability for Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) reflects the stalled impeachment momentum despite a surge in Senate petitions—reaching 97 targeting him over the "Banco Master" scandal involving alleged ties to a failed bank. No petitions have advanced beyond filing, as STF justices require a two-thirds Senate vote for removal, a high procedural bar rarely met. Recent rulings by Moraes, including denying former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison visits and house arrest extensions in January-March 2026, underscore his continued authority amid scrutiny. Ongoing Bolsonaro coup trial oversight reinforces trader consensus on his entrenched position absent major legislative breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17,333结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' 82% implied probability for Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) reflects the stalled impeachment momentum despite a surge in Senate petitions—reaching 97 targeting him over the "Banco Master" scandal involving alleged ties to a failed bank. No petitions have advanced beyond filing, as STF justices require a two-thirds Senate vote for removal, a high procedural bar rarely met. Recent rulings by Moraes, including denying former President Jair Bolsonaro's prison visits and house arrest extensions in January-March 2026, underscore his continued authority amid scrutiny. Ongoing Bolsonaro coup trial oversight reinforces trader consensus on his entrenched position absent major legislative breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题