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Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?

240-259 16%

260-279 16%

220-239 13%

280-299 13%

Polymarket

$736,250 交易量

240-259 16%

260-279 16%

220-239 13%

280-299 13%

Polymarket

$736,250 交易量

<20

$48,918 交易量

<1%

20-39

$31,672 交易量

<1%

40-59

$40,479 交易量

<1%

60-79

$60,565 交易量

<1%

80-99

$65,958 交易量

<1%

100-119

$26,992 交易量

<1%

120-139

$26,818 交易量

<1%

140-159

$25,385 交易量

<1%

160-179

$26,405 交易量

1%

180-199

$17,318 交易量

3%

200-219

$15,312 交易量

7%

220-239

$25,129 交易量

13%

240-259

$28,542 交易量

16%

260-279

$33,585 交易量

16%

280-299

$22,199 交易量

13%

300-319

$22,170 交易量

12%

320-339

$17,182 交易量

8%

340-359

$12,193 交易量

7%

360-379

$10,292 交易量

6%

380-399

$13,982 交易量

3%

400-419

$15,805 交易量

2%

420-439

$13,363 交易量

1%

440-459

$11,473 交易量

1%

460-479

$11,495 交易量

1%

480-499

$12,855 交易量

<1%

500-519

$16,787 交易量

<1%

520-539

$16,097 交易量

<1%

540-559

$18,164 交易量

<1%

560-579

$18,570 交易量

<1%

580+

$40,226 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-279 X posts by Elon Musk from April 3-10, reflecting his recent steady pace of 27-35 posts daily, as evidenced by 260 tweets in the prior March 20-27 week and 218 in March 27-April 3 amid xAI Grok updates and political commentary. The razor-thin tie between 240-259 (15.5%) and 260-279 (15.5%) underscores competitive dynamics hinging on posting rhythm—sustained replies to viral cultural debates could nudge higher, while a quieter schedule pulls lower. Key swing factors include potential Starlink expansions, Tesla announcements, or Grok enhancements, with historical spikes tied to real-time news cycles on the platform.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$736,250
结束日期
2026-04-10
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-279 X posts by Elon Musk from April 3-10, reflecting his recent steady pace of 27-35 posts daily, as evidenced by 260 tweets in the prior March 20-27 week and 218 in March 27-April 3 amid xAI Grok updates and political commentary. The razor-thin tie between 240-259 (15.5%) and 260-279 (15.5%) underscores competitive dynamics hinging on posting rhythm—sustained replies to viral cultural debates could nudge higher, while a quieter schedule pulls lower. Key swing factors include potential Starlink expansions, Tesla announcements, or Grok enhancements, with historical spikes tied to real-time news cycles on the platform.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$736,250
结束日期
2026-04-10
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"240-259",概率为 16%,其次是"260-279",概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 16¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 16%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?"已产生 $736.2K 的总交易量(自Mar 31, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?"的当前领先者是"240-259",概率为 16%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 16%。紧随其后的结果是"260-279",概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。