Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts for April 2-4 at 65-89 (39.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (28.5%), reflecting his recent pace of roughly 30-35 posts per day as tracked by xTracker—69 total from March 30-April 1 and 171 through early April 3 in the prior weekly market. This positioning stems from steady activity amid Tesla's FSD 14.3 beta rollout, Grok's multilingual translation upgrades, and cultural commentary on politics and innovation, without major spikes from viral controversies or lulls from absences. With no confirmed schedule changes, traders anticipate consistent volume through the short window, though weekend dynamics or breaking news could shift momentum before resolution at April 4, 12:00 PM ET.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日?
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日?
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
$115,169 交易量
$115,169 交易量
少于40条
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
23%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
$115,169 交易量
$115,169 交易量
少于40条
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
23%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts for April 2-4 at 65-89 (39.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (28.5%), reflecting his recent pace of roughly 30-35 posts per day as tracked by xTracker—69 total from March 30-April 1 and 171 through early April 3 in the prior weekly market. This positioning stems from steady activity amid Tesla's FSD 14.3 beta rollout, Grok's multilingual translation upgrades, and cultural commentary on politics and innovation, without major spikes from viral controversies or lulls from absences. With no confirmed schedule changes, traders anticipate consistent volume through the short window, though weekend dynamics or breaking news could shift momentum before resolution at April 4, 12:00 PM ET.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题