Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (@cz_binance) posting fewer than 20 times on X from April 3-10, reflecting his subdued recent activity averaging 1-3 posts per day over the past week. Key drivers include four posts on March 31—highlighting quantum-resistant upgrades for crypto amid user concerns—and six mostly brief replies on April 1 tied to April Fools birthday jokes, totaling around 10 in the prior similar period tracked by a companion market now at 98% for under 20. Absent announcements of heightened engagement or major events like summits, traders extrapolate this pattern of sporadic quotes on BNB Chain developments and selective replies, pricing 20-39 posts at 28% as a modest tail risk while higher bins languish below 2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于CZ # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
CZ # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
<20 71%
20-39 28%
40-59 1.8%
180-199 1.6%
<20
71%
20-39
28%
40-59
2%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200+
1%
<20 71%
20-39 28%
40-59 1.8%
180-199 1.6%
<20
71%
20-39
28%
40-59
2%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (@cz_binance) posting fewer than 20 times on X from April 3-10, reflecting his subdued recent activity averaging 1-3 posts per day over the past week. Key drivers include four posts on March 31—highlighting quantum-resistant upgrades for crypto amid user concerns—and six mostly brief replies on April 1 tied to April Fools birthday jokes, totaling around 10 in the prior similar period tracked by a companion market now at 98% for under 20. Absent announcements of heightened engagement or major events like summits, traders extrapolate this pattern of sporadic quotes on BNB Chain developments and selective replies, pricing 20-39 posts at 28% as a modest tail risk while higher bins languish below 2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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