Trader consensus favors under 20 posts (33%) by the next NYC mayor during March 27–April 3, 2026, reflecting historical patterns of restrained official X activity from the @NYCMayor account, averaging 10–15 posts weekly under incumbents like Eric Adams amid non-crisis periods. Adams' federal corruption indictment in September 2024 has cratered his re-election odds to single digits, opening a fragmented Democratic primary field where no challenger—Andrew Cuomo (exploring entry, ~25% in early polls), Brad Lander, Zohran Mamdani, or Scott Stringer—holds clear dominance. Differentiators include candidates' communication styles: high-volume posters like Cuomo vs. policy-focused, lower-output figures like Lander. Primary filing deadlines in February 2025 and June 24 vote could consolidate odds behind one volume range as the nominee's habits clarify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
<20 34%
20-39 22%
200+ 12%
120-139 10%
$11,964 交易量
$11,964 交易量
<20
34%
20-39
22%
40-59
7%
60-79
9%
80-99
8%
100-119
9%
120-139
10%
140-159
8%
160-179
8%
180-199
8%
200+
12%
<20 34%
20-39 22%
200+ 12%
120-139 10%
$11,964 交易量
$11,964 交易量
<20
34%
20-39
22%
40-59
7%
60-79
9%
80-99
8%
100-119
9%
120-139
10%
140-159
8%
160-179
8%
180-199
8%
200+
12%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under 20 posts (33%) by the next NYC mayor during March 27–April 3, 2026, reflecting historical patterns of restrained official X activity from the @NYCMayor account, averaging 10–15 posts weekly under incumbents like Eric Adams amid non-crisis periods. Adams' federal corruption indictment in September 2024 has cratered his re-election odds to single digits, opening a fragmented Democratic primary field where no challenger—Andrew Cuomo (exploring entry, ~25% in early polls), Brad Lander, Zohran Mamdani, or Scott Stringer—holds clear dominance. Differentiators include candidates' communication styles: high-volume posters like Cuomo vs. policy-focused, lower-output figures like Lander. Primary filing deadlines in February 2025 and June 24 vote could consolidate odds behind one volume range as the nominee's habits clarify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题