Notes 预测与赔率

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Politics·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

45%

$90.1K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Bhutan Tri-Series: Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Bhutan Tri-Series: Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women - Most Sixes

-

$187 交易量

Bhutan Tri-Series: Bhutan Women vs Malaysia Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Bhutan Tri-Series: Bhutan Women vs Malaysia Women - Most Sixes

-

$130 交易量

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Namibia Women vs USA Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Namibia Women vs USA Women - Most Sixes

-

$61 交易量

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Nepal Women vs Netherlands Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Nepal Women vs Netherlands Women - Most Sixes

-

$61 交易量

Counter-Strike: imodium vs Fingers Crossed Female (BO3) - JB Pro League Female Group A
Sports·Esports

Counter-Strike: imodium vs Fingers Crossed Female (BO3) - JB Pro League Female Group A

Fingers Crossed Female

$4.9K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Most Sixes

-

$266 交易量

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Goal Contributions
Sports·Soccer

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Goal Contributions

37%

Luka Jovic

$2.7K 交易量

$609 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Zimbabwe Women vs Thailand Women - Team Top Batter
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Zimbabwe Women vs Thailand Women - Team Top Batter

-

$125 交易量

$0 Liq.

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Bangladesh Women vs Namibia Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Bangladesh Women vs Namibia Women - Most Sixes

-

$247 交易量

$0 Liq.

SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Qualifier 1) - Team Top Batter
Sports·Cricket

SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Qualifier 1) - Team Top Batter

-

$210 交易量

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs DashSkins (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group D
Sports·Esports

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs DashSkins (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group D

70%

RED Canids

$3.6K 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Nepal Women vs Netherlands Women - Team Top Batter
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Nepal Women vs Netherlands Women - Team Top Batter

-

$7.8K 交易量

Bhutan Tri-Series: Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women - Team Top Batter
Sports·Cricket

Bhutan Tri-Series: Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women - Team Top Batter

-

$153 交易量

Bhutan Tri-Series: Bhutan Women vs Malaysia Women - Team Top Batter
Sports·Cricket

Bhutan Tri-Series: Bhutan Women vs Malaysia Women - Team Top Batter

-

$1.5K 交易量

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
Sports·Esports

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs

77%

ShindeN

$0 交易量

$365 Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Papua New Guinea Women vs Bangladesh Women - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Papua New Guinea Women vs Bangladesh Women - Most Sixes

-

$261 交易量

SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Qualifier 1) - Most Sixes
Sports·Cricket

SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Qualifier 1) - Most Sixes

-

$198 交易量

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group D
Sports·Esports

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group D

83%

Bebop

$12 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group C
Sports·Esports

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group C

91%

Legacy

$10.4K 交易量

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场，你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物（包括 Notes 等话题）来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 102 个活跃的 Notes 市场，让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果，该平台基于超过 $123K 的交易量汇聚实时赔率，提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题，例如"Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group C"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如，如果"是"的价格为 30 美分，则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件，例如"Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Nepal Women vs Netherlands Women - Team Top Batter"，你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天，最活跃的市场是"Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?"，市场目前认为 No 的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新，与传统博彩公司的赔率相比，提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同，Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Notes 预测实时赔率，这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法，这通常比民调更准确。此外，你可以交易份额，如果你的预测准确，还可能从中获利。