Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$14,414,520 交易量
$14,414,520 交易量
2026-04-14
<20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200-219
否
220-239
否
240-259
否
260-279
否
280-299
是
300-319
否
320-339
否
340-359
否
360-379
否
380-399
否
400-419
否
420-439
否
440-459
否
460-479
否
480-499
否
500-519
否
520-539
否
540-559
否
560-579
否
580条及以上
否
280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$14,414,520 交易量
$14,414,520 交易量
2026-04-14
<20
$132,946 交易量
否
20-39
$29,555 交易量
否
40-59
$28,763 交易量
否
60-79
$39,328 交易量
否
80-99
$131,329 交易量
否
100-119
$79,948 交易量
否
120-139
$122,045 交易量
否
140-159
$190,544 交易量
否
160-179
$370,956 交易量
否
180-199
$495,720 交易量
否
200-219
$546,411 交易量
否
220-239
$547,326 交易量
否
240-259
$613,997 交易量
否
260-279
$1,031,883 交易量
否
280-299
$1,984,527 交易量
是
300-319
$1,110,020 交易量
否
320-339
$1,260,375 交易量
否
340-359
$797,610 交易量
否
360-379
$741,255 交易量
否
380-399
$807,327 交易量
否
400-419
$715,741 交易量
否
420-439
$503,596 交易量
否
440-459
$604,228 交易量
否
460-479
$330,779 交易量
否
480-499
$423,073 交易量
否
500-519
$144,317 交易量
否
520-539
$114,244 交易量
否
540-559
$140,060 交易量
否
560-579
$134,686 交易量
否
580条及以上
$241,930 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$14,414,520结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$14,414,520结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 280-299 tweets by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) at a near-certain implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like xTracker confirming exactly 299 posts from the market window of April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14 12:00 PM ET. Elon's steady daily average of 43 posts—fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary—held firm without the posting surge required to breach 300, as verified through April 13 with negligible activity into April 14 morning. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his predictable high-volume X presence amid viral pop culture moments. An upset to 300-319 would demand an improbable last-minute frenzy before noon ET close, defying recent patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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