Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% due to insurmountable constitutional, political, and sovereignty barriers preventing Venezuela's admission as a US state, requiring Congressional legislation under Article IV, Venezuelan popular consent via referendum, and bipartisan support absent in current dynamics. President Trump's March 17 social media post—playfully musing on statehood (#51) amid Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win—sparked brief online speculation but was widely dismissed as jest, with no follow-up actions. Recent US-Venezuela diplomatic thaw, including sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez and renewed ties announced March 5, focuses on normalization rather than integration. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented events like full US military occupation or a Venezuelan plea for protectorate status post-regime collapse, neither indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$124,358 交易量
$124,358 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$124,358 交易量
$124,358 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% due to insurmountable constitutional, political, and sovereignty barriers preventing Venezuela's admission as a US state, requiring Congressional legislation under Article IV, Venezuelan popular consent via referendum, and bipartisan support absent in current dynamics. President Trump's March 17 social media post—playfully musing on statehood (#51) amid Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win—sparked brief online speculation but was widely dismissed as jest, with no follow-up actions. Recent US-Venezuela diplomatic thaw, including sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez and renewed ties announced March 5, focuses on normalization rather than integration. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented events like full US military occupation or a Venezuelan plea for protectorate status post-regime collapse, neither indicated.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$124,358结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% due to insurmountable constitutional, political, and sovereignty barriers preventing Venezuela's admission as a US state, requiring Congressional legislation under Article IV, Venezuelan popular consent via referendum, and bipartisan support absent in current dynamics. President Trump's March 17 social media post—playfully musing on statehood (#51) amid Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win—sparked brief online speculation but was widely dismissed as jest, with no follow-up actions. Recent US-Venezuela diplomatic thaw, including sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez and renewed ties announced March 5, focuses on normalization rather than integration. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented events like full US military occupation or a Venezuelan plea for protectorate status post-regime collapse, neither indicated.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$124,358结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% due to insurmountable constitutional, political, and sovereignty barriers preventing Venezuela's admission as a US state, requiring Congressional legislation under Article IV, Venezuelan popular consent via referendum, and bipartisan support absent in current dynamics. President Trump's March 17 social media post—playfully musing on statehood (#51) amid Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win—sparked brief online speculation but was widely dismissed as jest, with no follow-up actions. Recent US-Venezuela diplomatic thaw, including sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez and renewed ties announced March 5, focuses on normalization rather than integration. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented events like full US military occupation or a Venezuelan plea for protectorate status post-regime collapse, neither indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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