House Democrats' persistent impeachment efforts, including Rep. Al Green's H.Res.939 filed December 10, 2025, accusing President Trump of high crimes and misdemeanors, alongside key lawmakers' recent vote announcements, underpin the 68% Yes implied probability for impeachment before his January 2029 term end. Traders price in vulnerability of the GOP's slim House majority to defections, fueled by controversies over executive overreach and foreign policy actions like U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear sites. Impeachment needs only a House simple majority, while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority—unlikely but not market-relevant. November 2026 midterms could flip House control, amplifying risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$23,090 交易量
$23,090 交易量
Jan 20, 2029
$23,090 交易量
$23,090 交易量
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.House Democrats' persistent impeachment efforts, including Rep. Al Green's H.Res.939 filed December 10, 2025, accusing President Trump of high crimes and misdemeanors, alongside key lawmakers' recent vote announcements, underpin the 68% Yes implied probability for impeachment before his January 2029 term end. Traders price in vulnerability of the GOP's slim House majority to defections, fueled by controversies over executive overreach and foreign policy actions like U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear sites. Impeachment needs only a House simple majority, while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority—unlikely but not market-relevant. November 2026 midterms could flip House control, amplifying risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$23,090结束日期
Jan 20, 2029市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.House Democrats' persistent impeachment efforts, including Rep. Al Green's H.Res.939 filed December 10, 2025, accusing President Trump of high crimes and misdemeanors, alongside key lawmakers' recent vote announcements, underpin the 68% Yes implied probability for impeachment before his January 2029 term end. Traders price in vulnerability of the GOP's slim House majority to defections, fueled by controversies over executive overreach and foreign policy actions like U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear sites. Impeachment needs only a House simple majority, while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority—unlikely but not market-relevant. November 2026 midterms could flip House control, amplifying risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$23,090结束日期
Jan 20, 2029市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Democrats' persistent impeachment efforts, including Rep. Al Green's H.Res.939 filed December 10, 2025, accusing President Trump of high crimes and misdemeanors, alongside key lawmakers' recent vote announcements, underpin the 68% Yes implied probability for impeachment before his January 2029 term end. Traders price in vulnerability of the GOP's slim House majority to defections, fueled by controversies over executive overreach and foreign policy actions like U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear sites. Impeachment needs only a House simple majority, while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority—unlikely but not market-relevant. November 2026 midterms could flip House control, amplifying risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题