Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 67% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, propelled by Trump's March 26 extension of a strike pause on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from Houthi and Iranian actions, positioning Saudi Arabia as a pivotal Gulf ally for de-escalation talks. Strong odds also price UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) amid ongoing Ukraine diplomacy, following Trump's recent calls with Zelenskyy and Netanyahu. No April schedule is public; upcoming White House announcements or Truth Social posts could shift probabilities before the April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,739 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
Mark Rutte
77%
Mohammed bin Salman
67%
Emmanuel Macron
66%
Keir Starmer
65%
Lula da Silva
59%
Friedrich Merz
57%
Vladimir Putin
54%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
54%
Ursula von der Leyen
52%
Mark Carney
48%
Xi Jinping
37%
Maria Corina Machado
28%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%
Masoud Pezeshkian
12%
Reza Pahlavi
11%
Nicolás Maduro
6%
Kim Jong Un
4%
Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
埃隆·马斯克
55%
$10,739 交易量
Mark Rutte
$1,194 交易量
77%
Mohammed bin Salman
$417 交易量
67%
Emmanuel Macron
$579 交易量
66%
Keir Starmer
$235 交易量
65%
Lula da Silva
$554 交易量
59%
Friedrich Merz
$356 交易量
57%
Vladimir Putin
$429 交易量
54%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$120 交易量
54%
Ursula von der Leyen
$1,546 交易量
52%
Mark Carney
$24 交易量
48%
Xi Jinping
$212 交易量
37%
Maria Corina Machado
$391 交易量
28%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$91 交易量
14%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,421 交易量
12%
Reza Pahlavi
$385 交易量
11%
Nicolás Maduro
$0 交易量
6%
Kim Jong Un
$916 交易量
4%
Yoon Suk Yeol
$1,840 交易量
3%
埃隆·马斯克
$27 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 67% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, propelled by Trump's March 26 extension of a strike pause on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from Houthi and Iranian actions, positioning Saudi Arabia as a pivotal Gulf ally for de-escalation talks. Strong odds also price UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) amid ongoing Ukraine diplomacy, following Trump's recent calls with Zelenskyy and Netanyahu. No April schedule is public; upcoming White House announcements or Truth Social posts could shift probabilities before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$10,739结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 67% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, propelled by Trump's March 26 extension of a strike pause on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from Houthi and Iranian actions, positioning Saudi Arabia as a pivotal Gulf ally for de-escalation talks. Strong odds also price UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) amid ongoing Ukraine diplomacy, following Trump's recent calls with Zelenskyy and Netanyahu. No April schedule is public; upcoming White House announcements or Truth Social posts could shift probabilities before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,739结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 67% implied probability for a conversation with President Trump in April, propelled by Trump's March 26 extension of a strike pause on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from Houthi and Iranian actions, positioning Saudi Arabia as a pivotal Gulf ally for de-escalation talks. Strong odds also price UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) amid ongoing Ukraine diplomacy, following Trump's recent calls with Zelenskyy and Netanyahu. No April schedule is public; upcoming White House announcements or Truth Social posts could shift probabilities before the April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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