The Trump administration's direct equity stakes in strategic firms since mid-2025—including Intel for semiconductors, MP Materials and Lithium Americas for critical minerals, and a rare earths miner in January 2026—have fueled trader expectations for similar interventions in defense, AI, and advanced chipmakers to counter China on supply chains and national security. No new federal stakes have been announced in the past 30 days, maintaining focus on the standing policy shift from grants to ownership amid economic competitiveness goals. Upcoming congressional defense budget votes, Commerce Department reviews, and potential executive actions could drive resolutions before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$56,306 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
安杜里尔
21%
波音
38%
台积电
18%
OpenAI
26%
Palantir
37%
英伟达
14%
格罗方德
22%
洛克希德·马丁
39%
TikTok美国 / 字节跳动
24%
自由港麦克莫兰
27%
IonQ
31%
美光
21%
D-Wave
31%
Anthropic
16%
Rigetti
13%
礼来公司
27%
辉瑞
31%
三星电子
18%
$56,306 交易量
安杜里尔
$38,881 交易量
21%
波音
$0 交易量
38%
台积电
$0 交易量
18%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
26%
Palantir
$186 交易量
37%
英伟达
$8,635 交易量
14%
格罗方德
$586 交易量
22%
洛克希德·马丁
$0 交易量
39%
TikTok美国 / 字节跳动
$278 交易量
24%
自由港麦克莫兰
$0 交易量
27%
IonQ
$0 交易量
31%
美光
$712 交易量
21%
D-Wave
$0 交易量
31%
Anthropic
$558 交易量
16%
Rigetti
$0 交易量
13%
礼来公司
$0 交易量
27%
辉瑞
$0 交易量
31%
三星电子
$7,182 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's direct equity stakes in strategic firms since mid-2025—including Intel for semiconductors, MP Materials and Lithium Americas for critical minerals, and a rare earths miner in January 2026—have fueled trader expectations for similar interventions in defense, AI, and advanced chipmakers to counter China on supply chains and national security. No new federal stakes have been announced in the past 30 days, maintaining focus on the standing policy shift from grants to ownership amid economic competitiveness goals. Upcoming congressional defense budget votes, Commerce Department reviews, and potential executive actions could drive resolutions before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
交易量
$56,306结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's direct equity stakes in strategic firms since mid-2025—including Intel for semiconductors, MP Materials and Lithium Americas for critical minerals, and a rare earths miner in January 2026—have fueled trader expectations for similar interventions in defense, AI, and advanced chipmakers to counter China on supply chains and national security. No new federal stakes have been announced in the past 30 days, maintaining focus on the standing policy shift from grants to ownership amid economic competitiveness goals. Upcoming congressional defense budget votes, Commerce Department reviews, and potential executive actions could drive resolutions before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$56,306结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's direct equity stakes in strategic firms since mid-2025—including Intel for semiconductors, MP Materials and Lithium Americas for critical minerals, and a rare earths miner in January 2026—have fueled trader expectations for similar interventions in defense, AI, and advanced chipmakers to counter China on supply chains and national security. No new federal stakes have been announced in the past 30 days, maintaining focus on the standing policy shift from grants to ownership amid economic competitiveness goals. Upcoming congressional defense budget votes, Commerce Department reviews, and potential executive actions could drive resolutions before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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