Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Embargo" at 24%, "Finish the job" at 22%, and "Khamenei" at 19% implied probabilities for phrases President Trump will utter between March 29 and April 5, driven by his recent focus on the ongoing US-Iran war. In Truth Social posts since March 23, Trump highlighted productive talks with Iran while threatening twentyfold retaliation if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, echoing embargo themes amid military escalation signals. A March 26 Cabinet meeting reinforced determination to continue operations unless Iran abandons nuclear pursuits, while March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Future Investment Initiative sustained foreign policy emphasis. Nationwide "No Kings" protests against the war and ICE enforcement on March 28 may prompt weekend responses from Mar-a-Lago, where Trump is scheduled through March 29.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$473,736 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
22%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
6%
Ethanol
3%
Embargo
3%
Finish the Job
16%
Khamenei
4%
Chuck Norris
2%
$473,736 交易量
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,649 交易量
22%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,465 交易量
3%
Eat our Lunch
$1,763 交易量
6%
Ethanol
$11,506 交易量
3%
Embargo
$8,715 交易量
3%
Finish the Job
$3,666 交易量
16%
Khamenei
$53,219 交易量
4%
Chuck Norris
$8,210 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Embargo" at 24%, "Finish the job" at 22%, and "Khamenei" at 19% implied probabilities for phrases President Trump will utter between March 29 and April 5, driven by his recent focus on the ongoing US-Iran war. In Truth Social posts since March 23, Trump highlighted productive talks with Iran while threatening twentyfold retaliation if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, echoing embargo themes amid military escalation signals. A March 26 Cabinet meeting reinforced determination to continue operations unless Iran abandons nuclear pursuits, while March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Future Investment Initiative sustained foreign policy emphasis. Nationwide "No Kings" protests against the war and ICE enforcement on March 28 may prompt weekend responses from Mar-a-Lago, where Trump is scheduled through March 29.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$473,736结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
有争议
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Embargo" at 24%, "Finish the job" at 22%, and "Khamenei" at 19% implied probabilities for phrases President Trump will utter between March 29 and April 5, driven by his recent focus on the ongoing US-Iran war. In Truth Social posts since March 23, Trump highlighted productive talks with Iran while threatening twentyfold retaliation if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, echoing embargo themes amid military escalation signals. A March 26 Cabinet meeting reinforced determination to continue operations unless Iran abandons nuclear pursuits, while March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Future Investment Initiative sustained foreign policy emphasis. Nationwide "No Kings" protests against the war and ICE enforcement on March 28 may prompt weekend responses from Mar-a-Lago, where Trump is scheduled through March 29.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$473,736结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
有争议
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Embargo" at 24%, "Finish the job" at 22%, and "Khamenei" at 19% implied probabilities for phrases President Trump will utter between March 29 and April 5, driven by his recent focus on the ongoing US-Iran war. In Truth Social posts since March 23, Trump highlighted productive talks with Iran while threatening twentyfold retaliation if Tehran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, echoing embargo themes amid military escalation signals. A March 26 Cabinet meeting reinforced determination to continue operations unless Iran abandons nuclear pursuits, while March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Future Investment Initiative sustained foreign policy emphasis. Nationwide "No Kings" protests against the war and ICE enforcement on March 28 may prompt weekend responses from Mar-a-Lago, where Trump is scheduled through March 29.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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