President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$471,980 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
8%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
6%
Ethanol
9%
Embargo
13%
Finish the Job
14%
Khamenei
8%
Chuck Norris
2%
$471,980 交易量
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,446 交易量
8%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,313 交易量
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,678 交易量
6%
Ethanol
$11,226 交易量
9%
Embargo
$8,510 交易量
13%
Finish the Job
$3,633 交易量
14%
Khamenei
$52,843 交易量
8%
Chuck Norris
$7,788 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$471,980结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$471,980结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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