美国/以色列袭击伊朗的方式是…… ？
$9,783,922 交易量
Jan 12, 2026
2月15日
$740,551 交易量
12%
2月15日
$740,551 交易量
12%
2月28日
$369,249 交易量
25%
2月28日
$369,249 交易量
25%
3月31日
$246,686 交易量
37%
3月31日
$246,686 交易量
37%
12月31日
$128,799 交易量
63%
12月31日
$128,799 交易量
63%
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建时间： Jan 16, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
交易量
$9,783,922结束日期
Feb 15, 2026创建时间
Jan 16, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...美国/以色列袭击伊朗的方式是…… ？
$9,783,922 交易量
2月15日
$740,551 交易量
12%
2月28日
$369,249 交易量
25%
3月31日
$246,686 交易量
37%
12月31日
$128,799 交易量
63%
关于
交易量
$9,783,922结束日期
Feb 15, 2026创建时间
Jan 16, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。