Recent redistricting shifted Texas’s 35th congressional district, a San Antonio-area seat formerly held by Democrat Greg Casar, toward a modest Republican tilt with a partisan voting index of roughly R+4 while preserving a Hispanic-majority electorate. The open seat drew crowded March primaries that produced runoffs on May 26 for both parties, pitting state Representative John Lujan against Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side and Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia against activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the Republican nominee’s structural edge in the November general election, tempered by Democratic hopes of capitalizing on shifting Hispanic voting patterns in a potential national wave year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
50%
民主党
38%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$763 交易量
50%
民主党
$1,581 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting shifted Texas’s 35th congressional district, a San Antonio-area seat formerly held by Democrat Greg Casar, toward a modest Republican tilt with a partisan voting index of roughly R+4 while preserving a Hispanic-majority electorate. The open seat drew crowded March primaries that produced runoffs on May 26 for both parties, pitting state Representative John Lujan against Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side and Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia against activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the Republican nominee’s structural edge in the November general election, tempered by Democratic hopes of capitalizing on shifting Hispanic voting patterns in a potential national wave year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,344结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting shifted Texas’s 35th congressional district, a San Antonio-area seat formerly held by Democrat Greg Casar, toward a modest Republican tilt with a partisan voting index of roughly R+4 while preserving a Hispanic-majority electorate. The open seat drew crowded March primaries that produced runoffs on May 26 for both parties, pitting state Representative John Lujan against Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side and Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia against activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the Republican nominee’s structural edge in the November general election, tempered by Democratic hopes of capitalizing on shifting Hispanic voting patterns in a potential national wave year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,344结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting shifted Texas’s 35th congressional district, a San Antonio-area seat formerly held by Democrat Greg Casar, toward a modest Republican tilt with a partisan voting index of roughly R+4 while preserving a Hispanic-majority electorate. The open seat drew crowded March primaries that produced runoffs on May 26 for both parties, pitting state Representative John Lujan against Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz on the Republican side and Bexar County sheriff’s deputy Johnny Garcia against activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the Republican nominee’s structural edge in the November general election, tempered by Democratic hopes of capitalizing on shifting Hispanic voting patterns in a potential national wave year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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