Redistricting shifted Texas' 35th District toward Republicans by replacing Austin-area territory with rural counties that favored Trump by roughly 10 points in 2024, creating an open seat after incumbent Democrat Greg Casar relocated. Despite expert ratings of Lean Republican, trader consensus favors Democrat Johnny Garcia at 60.5% over Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 40.5%. Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff, emphasizes affordability and working-class issues amid voter concerns over prices and the Iran conflict. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz, highlights border security and received a recent Trump endorsement plus rally support in San Antonio. Heavy outside spending from both parties and shifting Hispanic voter patterns in this majority-Latino district continue to shape the close contest ahead of the November 3 vote.