Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Democratic Party nominee at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, ahead of the May 26 primary runoffs that will set both parties' nominees for the November general election. The district, redrawn by Republican-led legislature in 2025 to target Democratic incumbent Greg Casar—who shifted to TX-37—remains competitive with a D+19 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, drawing divergent ratings: Likely Republican per Cook Political Report yet favored by traders amid Bexar County's Democratic base. March 3 primaries saw fragmented fields advance Maureen Galindo (29%) over Johnny Garcia (27%) for Democrats and State Rep. John Lujan (33%) over Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz (27%) for Republicans, with higher Democratic turnout signaling resilience despite no public general polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
60%
共和党
40%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,135 交易量
60%
共和党
$0 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Democratic Party nominee at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, ahead of the May 26 primary runoffs that will set both parties' nominees for the November general election. The district, redrawn by Republican-led legislature in 2025 to target Democratic incumbent Greg Casar—who shifted to TX-37—remains competitive with a D+19 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, drawing divergent ratings: Likely Republican per Cook Political Report yet favored by traders amid Bexar County's Democratic base. March 3 primaries saw fragmented fields advance Maureen Galindo (29%) over Johnny Garcia (27%) for Democrats and State Rep. John Lujan (33%) over Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz (27%) for Republicans, with higher Democratic turnout signaling resilience despite no public general polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,135结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Democratic Party nominee at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, ahead of the May 26 primary runoffs that will set both parties' nominees for the November general election. The district, redrawn by Republican-led legislature in 2025 to target Democratic incumbent Greg Casar—who shifted to TX-37—remains competitive with a D+19 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, drawing divergent ratings: Likely Republican per Cook Political Report yet favored by traders amid Bexar County's Democratic base. March 3 primaries saw fragmented fields advance Maureen Galindo (29%) over Johnny Garcia (27%) for Democrats and State Rep. John Lujan (33%) over Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz (27%) for Republicans, with higher Democratic turnout signaling resilience despite no public general polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,135结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Democratic Party nominee at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, ahead of the May 26 primary runoffs that will set both parties' nominees for the November general election. The district, redrawn by Republican-led legislature in 2025 to target Democratic incumbent Greg Casar—who shifted to TX-37—remains competitive with a D+19 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, drawing divergent ratings: Likely Republican per Cook Political Report yet favored by traders amid Bexar County's Democratic base. March 3 primaries saw fragmented fields advance Maureen Galindo (29%) over Johnny Garcia (27%) for Democrats and State Rep. John Lujan (33%) over Trump-endorsed Carlos De La Cruz (27%) for Republicans, with higher Democratic turnout signaling resilience despite no public general polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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