Incumbent Republican Rep. Erin Houchin, seeking reelection in Indiana's 9th Congressional District—a solidly conservative seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—drives trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold, reflecting her comfortable 2024 victory and the district's reliable Republican performance in recent presidential races. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field of at least four contenders, highlighted by a Bloomington policy forum last week, diluting opposition ahead of the May 5 primary. Absent a standout Democratic recruit or unforeseen scandal, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in such districts underscoring low upset risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
90%
民主党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Erin Houchin, seeking reelection in Indiana's 9th Congressional District—a solidly conservative seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—drives trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold, reflecting her comfortable 2024 victory and the district's reliable Republican performance in recent presidential races. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field of at least four contenders, highlighted by a Bloomington policy forum last week, diluting opposition ahead of the May 5 primary. Absent a standout Democratic recruit or unforeseen scandal, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in such districts underscoring low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Erin Houchin, seeking reelection in Indiana's 9th Congressional District—a solidly conservative seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—drives trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold, reflecting her comfortable 2024 victory and the district's reliable Republican performance in recent presidential races. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field of at least four contenders, highlighted by a Bloomington policy forum last week, diluting opposition ahead of the May 5 primary. Absent a standout Democratic recruit or unforeseen scandal, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in such districts underscoring low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Erin Houchin, seeking reelection in Indiana's 9th Congressional District—a solidly conservative seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—drives trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold, reflecting her comfortable 2024 victory and the district's reliable Republican performance in recent presidential races. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field of at least four contenders, highlighted by a Bloomington policy forum last week, diluting opposition ahead of the May 5 primary. Absent a standout Democratic recruit or unforeseen scandal, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in such districts underscoring low upset risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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