Incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's April 11 launch of her re-election campaign for NY-09, a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district, bolsters trader consensus on Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the seat's historical dominance with large margins like Clarke's 2024 win. Heavy Democratic registration, urban demographics, and Cook Political Report's "Solid D" rating drive this commanding position, as no credible Republican contender has surfaced ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge include a national Republican wave, Clarke primary upset, scandal, or surge in independent turnout, though structural advantages make a GOP hold improbable without seismic shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,258 交易量
$19,258 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$19,258 交易量
$19,258 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,870 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,387 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's April 11 launch of her re-election campaign for NY-09, a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district, bolsters trader consensus on Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the seat's historical dominance with large margins like Clarke's 2024 win. Heavy Democratic registration, urban demographics, and Cook Political Report's "Solid D" rating drive this commanding position, as no credible Republican contender has surfaced ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge include a national Republican wave, Clarke primary upset, scandal, or surge in independent turnout, though structural advantages make a GOP hold improbable without seismic shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$19,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's April 11 launch of her re-election campaign for NY-09, a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district, bolsters trader consensus on Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the seat's historical dominance with large margins like Clarke's 2024 win. Heavy Democratic registration, urban demographics, and Cook Political Report's "Solid D" rating drive this commanding position, as no credible Republican contender has surfaced ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge include a national Republican wave, Clarke primary upset, scandal, or surge in independent turnout, though structural advantages make a GOP hold improbable without seismic shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's April 11 launch of her re-election campaign for NY-09, a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district, bolsters trader consensus on Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the seat's historical dominance with large margins like Clarke's 2024 win. Heavy Democratic registration, urban demographics, and Cook Political Report's "Solid D" rating drive this commanding position, as no credible Republican contender has surfaced ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Scenarios to challenge include a national Republican wave, Clarke primary upset, scandal, or surge in independent turnout, though structural advantages make a GOP hold improbable without seismic shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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