The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has kept trader probabilities tight in the MT-01 contest, with neither party holding a decisive edge ahead of the June 2 primaries. Multiple Republican contenders, including Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and Albert Olszewski, are competing for the nomination in a district that leans Republican but includes Democratic strongholds in Missoula and Bozeman. On the Democratic side, Ryan Busse leads a crowded primary field that also features Sam Forstag and others. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as likely Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results, though the absence of an incumbent and the two-week timeline to primaries leave room for nominee strength or late developments to shift general-election positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
51%
共和党
56%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$392 交易量
51%
共和党
$1,011 交易量
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has kept trader probabilities tight in the MT-01 contest, with neither party holding a decisive edge ahead of the June 2 primaries. Multiple Republican contenders, including Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and Albert Olszewski, are competing for the nomination in a district that leans Republican but includes Democratic strongholds in Missoula and Bozeman. On the Democratic side, Ryan Busse leads a crowded primary field that also features Sam Forstag and others. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as likely Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results, though the absence of an incumbent and the two-week timeline to primaries leave room for nominee strength or late developments to shift general-election positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has kept trader probabilities tight in the MT-01 contest, with neither party holding a decisive edge ahead of the June 2 primaries. Multiple Republican contenders, including Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and Albert Olszewski, are competing for the nomination in a district that leans Republican but includes Democratic strongholds in Missoula and Bozeman. On the Democratic side, Ryan Busse leads a crowded primary field that also features Sam Forstag and others. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as likely Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results, though the absence of an incumbent and the two-week timeline to primaries leave room for nominee strength or late developments to shift general-election positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s March 2026 retirement has kept trader probabilities tight in the MT-01 contest, with neither party holding a decisive edge ahead of the June 2 primaries. Multiple Republican contenders, including Aaron Flint, Christi Jacobsen, and Albert Olszewski, are competing for the nomination in a district that leans Republican but includes Democratic strongholds in Missoula and Bozeman. On the Democratic side, Ryan Busse leads a crowded primary field that also features Sam Forstag and others. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as likely Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results, though the absence of an incumbent and the two-week timeline to primaries leave room for nominee strength or late developments to shift general-election positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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