Montana’s open 1st congressional district race remains closely contested because the March 2026 retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke removed the advantages of incumbency in a seat rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Democratic primary frontrunner Ryan Busse, who previously ran statewide, enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising, while the Republican field of Christi Jacobsen, Aaron Flint, and others remains divided ahead of its own primary. Recent head-to-head polling and the district’s mix of Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman with rural conservative areas have produced narrow margins that sustain the current trader consensus. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election matchups will likely determine whether either party pulls ahead before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
53%
共和党
35%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$392 交易量
53%
共和党
$1,011 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s open 1st congressional district race remains closely contested because the March 2026 retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke removed the advantages of incumbency in a seat rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Democratic primary frontrunner Ryan Busse, who previously ran statewide, enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising, while the Republican field of Christi Jacobsen, Aaron Flint, and others remains divided ahead of its own primary. Recent head-to-head polling and the district’s mix of Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman with rural conservative areas have produced narrow margins that sustain the current trader consensus. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election matchups will likely determine whether either party pulls ahead before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s open 1st congressional district race remains closely contested because the March 2026 retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke removed the advantages of incumbency in a seat rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Democratic primary frontrunner Ryan Busse, who previously ran statewide, enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising, while the Republican field of Christi Jacobsen, Aaron Flint, and others remains divided ahead of its own primary. Recent head-to-head polling and the district’s mix of Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman with rural conservative areas have produced narrow margins that sustain the current trader consensus. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election matchups will likely determine whether either party pulls ahead before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s open 1st congressional district race remains closely contested because the March 2026 retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke removed the advantages of incumbency in a seat rated R+5 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Democratic primary frontrunner Ryan Busse, who previously ran statewide, enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising, while the Republican field of Christi Jacobsen, Aaron Flint, and others remains divided ahead of its own primary. Recent head-to-head polling and the district’s mix of Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman with rural conservative areas have produced narrow margins that sustain the current trader consensus. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election matchups will likely determine whether either party pulls ahead before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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