Trader consensus reflects an 86.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the absence of any official signals from Vice President JD Vance or a majority of Trump's handpicked cabinet secretaries to declare him unable to discharge his duties. Recent calls from Democratic critics and fringe voices within Trump's base—intensified by his March 27 cabinet meeting quip joking that revealing Iran war plans might prompt invocation—have generated media buzz but no procedural momentum, as historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to oust a sitting president. Ongoing speculation about Trump's health, including a recent rash and age-related concerns, remains unsubstantiated by medical reports confirming his fitness, with no escalation to cabinet deliberations amid his active executive actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus reflects an 86.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the absence of any official signals from Vice President JD Vance or a majority of Trump's handpicked cabinet secretaries to declare him unable to discharge his duties. Recent calls from Democratic critics and fringe voices within Trump's base—intensified by his March 27 cabinet meeting quip joking that revealing Iran war plans might prompt invocation—have generated media buzz but no procedural momentum, as historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to oust a sitting president. Ongoing speculation about Trump's health, including a recent rash and age-related concerns, remains unsubstantiated by medical reports confirming his fitness, with no escalation to cabinet deliberations amid his active executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$4,800结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus reflects an 86.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the absence of any official signals from Vice President JD Vance or a majority of Trump's handpicked cabinet secretaries to declare him unable to discharge his duties. Recent calls from Democratic critics and fringe voices within Trump's base—intensified by his March 27 cabinet meeting quip joking that revealing Iran war plans might prompt invocation—have generated media buzz but no procedural momentum, as historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to oust a sitting president. Ongoing speculation about Trump's health, including a recent rash and age-related concerns, remains unsubstantiated by medical reports confirming his fitness, with no escalation to cabinet deliberations amid his active executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
交易量
$4,800结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 86.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the absence of any official signals from Vice President JD Vance or a majority of Trump's handpicked cabinet secretaries to declare him unable to discharge his duties. Recent calls from Democratic critics and fringe voices within Trump's base—intensified by his March 27 cabinet meeting quip joking that revealing Iran war plans might prompt invocation—have generated media buzz but no procedural momentum, as historical precedent shows the amendment has never been used to oust a sitting president. Ongoing speculation about Trump's health, including a recent rash and age-related concerns, remains unsubstantiated by medical reports confirming his fitness, with no escalation to cabinet deliberations amid his active executive actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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