Market icon

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Market icon

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

<8000 100.0%

8000-8500 <1%

8500-9000 <1%

9000-9500 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

<8000 100.0%

8000-8500 <1%

8500-9000 <1%

9000-9500 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

<8000

$0 交易量

Yes

8000-8500

$0 交易量

No

8500-9000

$0 交易量

No

9000-9500

$0 交易量

No

9500-10000

$0 交易量

No

10000-10500

$0 交易量

No

10500-11000

$0 交易量

No

>11000

$0 交易量

No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<8000",概率为 100%,其次是"8000-8500",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"的当前领先者是"<8000",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"8000-8500",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Number of US flights delayed on March 25?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。