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恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?

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恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?

14% chance
Polymarket

$10,525 交易量

14% chance
Polymarket

$10,525 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Denis Sassou Nguesso of the Republic of the Congo secured a landslide re-election victory in the March 15 presidential election, capturing 94.82% of the vote according to provisional results announced March 17 and confirmed by the constitutional court this week with 94.90%. This fifth consecutive term extends his nearly 42-year rule through 2031, solidifying trader consensus at 86.5% against his departure by year-end. Major opposition parties boycotted amid claims of electoral opacity, with key figures imprisoned and internet restrictions during voting, facing weak challengers. At age 82, succession speculation persists, but no health issues or resignation signals have emerged, anchoring the high "No" probability despite potential late-year uncertainties like institutional shifts.

President Denis Sassou Nguesso of the Republic of the Congo secured a landslide re-election victory in the March 15 presidential election, capturing 94.82% of the vote according to provisional results announced March 17 and confirmed by the constitutional court this week with 94.90%. This fifth consecutive term extends his nearly 42-year rule through 2031, solidifying trader consensus at 86.5% against his departure by year-end. Major opposition parties boycotted amid claims of electoral opacity, with key figures imprisoned and internet restrictions during voting, facing weak challengers. At age 82, succession speculation persists, but no health issues or resignation signals have emerged, anchoring the high "No" probability despite potential late-year uncertainties like institutional shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Denis Sassou Nguesso of the Republic of the Congo secured a landslide re-election victory in the March 15 presidential election, capturing 94.82% of the vote according to provisional results announced March 17 and confirmed by the constitutional court this week with 94.90%. This fifth consecutive term extends his nearly 42-year rule through 2031, solidifying trader consensus at 86.5% against his departure by year-end. Major opposition parties boycotted amid claims of electoral opacity, with key figures imprisoned and internet restrictions during voting, facing weak challengers. At age 82, succession speculation persists, but no health issues or resignation signals have emerged, anchoring the high "No" probability despite potential late-year uncertainties like institutional shifts.

President Denis Sassou Nguesso of the Republic of the Congo secured a landslide re-election victory in the March 15 presidential election, capturing 94.82% of the vote according to provisional results announced March 17 and confirmed by the constitutional court this week with 94.90%. This fifth consecutive term extends his nearly 42-year rule through 2031, solidifying trader consensus at 86.5% against his departure by year-end. Major opposition parties boycotted amid claims of electoral opacity, with key figures imprisoned and internet restrictions during voting, facing weak challengers. At age 82, succession speculation persists, but no health issues or resignation signals have emerged, anchoring the high "No" probability despite potential late-year uncertainties like institutional shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"恩格索将在2026年12月31日前卸任刚果共和国总统?",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?"已产生 $10.5K 的总交易量(自Dec 12, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?"的当前领先者是"恩格索将在2026年12月31日前卸任刚果共和国总统?",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"恩格索在2026年12月31日前就任刚果共和国总统?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。