The Democratic Party's commanding position in the MO-01 House election market reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, centered on urban St. Louis voters who have delivered consistent majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Limited Republican candidate recruitment and the absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have reinforced trader consensus around this baseline. Historical voting patterns and turnout data further anchor expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Shifts could occur through redistricting changes, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or an unexpected primary upset that alters the general-election matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,802 交易量
$23,802 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$23,802 交易量
$23,802 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,654 交易量
93%
共和党
$10,149 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding position in the MO-01 House election market reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, centered on urban St. Louis voters who have delivered consistent majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Limited Republican candidate recruitment and the absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have reinforced trader consensus around this baseline. Historical voting patterns and turnout data further anchor expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Shifts could occur through redistricting changes, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or an unexpected primary upset that alters the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,802结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding position in the MO-01 House election market reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, centered on urban St. Louis voters who have delivered consistent majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Limited Republican candidate recruitment and the absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have reinforced trader consensus around this baseline. Historical voting patterns and turnout data further anchor expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Shifts could occur through redistricting changes, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or an unexpected primary upset that alters the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,802结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's commanding position in the MO-01 House election market reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, centered on urban St. Louis voters who have delivered consistent majorities exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Limited Republican candidate recruitment and the absence of competitive primaries or major scandals have reinforced trader consensus around this baseline. Historical voting patterns and turnout data further anchor expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Shifts could occur through redistricting changes, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or an unexpected primary upset that alters the general-election matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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