Missouri’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage driven by its partisan voter index of D+29 and the incumbent Wesley Bell’s 75.9 percent share in 2024. Traders have priced in near-certain Democratic retention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election because the seat encompasses St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, areas that have delivered consistent Democratic margins. The August 4 Democratic primary featuring Bell and former representative Cori Bush remains the principal near-term variable, yet historical turnout patterns and limited Republican primary opposition have kept the general-election outcome firmly in Democratic hands. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen primary result that weakens the nominee or through a successful legal challenge that alters district boundaries before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,810 交易量
$23,810 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$23,810 交易量
$23,810 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,661 交易量
93%
共和党
$10,149 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage driven by its partisan voter index of D+29 and the incumbent Wesley Bell’s 75.9 percent share in 2024. Traders have priced in near-certain Democratic retention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election because the seat encompasses St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, areas that have delivered consistent Democratic margins. The August 4 Democratic primary featuring Bell and former representative Cori Bush remains the principal near-term variable, yet historical turnout patterns and limited Republican primary opposition have kept the general-election outcome firmly in Democratic hands. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen primary result that weakens the nominee or through a successful legal challenge that alters district boundaries before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,810结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage driven by its partisan voter index of D+29 and the incumbent Wesley Bell’s 75.9 percent share in 2024. Traders have priced in near-certain Democratic retention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election because the seat encompasses St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, areas that have delivered consistent Democratic margins. The August 4 Democratic primary featuring Bell and former representative Cori Bush remains the principal near-term variable, yet historical turnout patterns and limited Republican primary opposition have kept the general-election outcome firmly in Democratic hands. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen primary result that weakens the nominee or through a successful legal challenge that alters district boundaries before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,810结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage driven by its partisan voter index of D+29 and the incumbent Wesley Bell’s 75.9 percent share in 2024. Traders have priced in near-certain Democratic retention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election because the seat encompasses St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, areas that have delivered consistent Democratic margins. The August 4 Democratic primary featuring Bell and former representative Cori Bush remains the principal near-term variable, yet historical turnout patterns and limited Republican primary opposition have kept the general-election outcome firmly in Democratic hands. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen primary result that weakens the nominee or through a successful legal challenge that alters district boundaries before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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