Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces during a military intervention in Caracas, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on exile to Qatar by March 31. Recent court proceedings in New York on March 26 saw a federal judge reject motions to dismiss drug trafficking charges against Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, while questioning U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense. With no diplomatic signals, negotiations, or reports of Qatar granting asylum, his ongoing detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center precludes relocation. Only an extraordinary pre-trial release and rapid transfer to Qatar could shift odds, though legal and geopolitical barriers make this highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$84,062 交易量
$84,062 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$84,062 交易量
$84,062 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces during a military intervention in Caracas, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on exile to Qatar by March 31. Recent court proceedings in New York on March 26 saw a federal judge reject motions to dismiss drug trafficking charges against Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, while questioning U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense. With no diplomatic signals, negotiations, or reports of Qatar granting asylum, his ongoing detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center precludes relocation. Only an extraordinary pre-trial release and rapid transfer to Qatar could shift odds, though legal and geopolitical barriers make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$84,062结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces during a military intervention in Caracas, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on exile to Qatar by March 31. Recent court proceedings in New York on March 26 saw a federal judge reject motions to dismiss drug trafficking charges against Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, while questioning U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense. With no diplomatic signals, negotiations, or reports of Qatar granting asylum, his ongoing detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center precludes relocation. Only an extraordinary pre-trial release and rapid transfer to Qatar could shift odds, though legal and geopolitical barriers make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$84,062结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces during a military intervention in Caracas, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" on exile to Qatar by March 31. Recent court proceedings in New York on March 26 saw a federal judge reject motions to dismiss drug trafficking charges against Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, while questioning U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for his defense. With no diplomatic signals, negotiations, or reports of Qatar granting asylum, his ongoing detention in Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center precludes relocation. Only an extraordinary pre-trial release and rapid transfer to Qatar could shift odds, though legal and geopolitical barriers make this highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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