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2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?

Market icon

2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?

Dec 31

Dec 31

40万到50万 34%

30万到40万 30%

50万到60万 14%

20万到30万 9%

Polymarket
NEW

40万到50万 34%

30万到40万 30%

50万到60万 14%

20万到30万 9%

Polymarket
NEW

少于20万

$0 交易量

6%

20万到30万

$3,112 交易量

9%

30万到40万

$1,648 交易量

30%

40万到50万

$1,658 交易量

34%

50万到60万

$0 交易量

12%

60万-70万

$0 交易量

4%

70-80万

$0 交易量

2%

80万到90万

$0 交易量

2%

90万-100万人

$0 交易量

<1%

>100万

$0 交易量

5%

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
交易量
$6,419
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40万到50万" at 34%, followed by "30万到40万" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?" is "40万到50万" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30万到40万" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年,特朗普将驱逐多少人?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.