Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% ahead of the April 30 MPC meeting, anchored by the committee's unanimous 9-0 vote to hold rates on March 19 amid persistent inflation pressures. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year—well above the 2% target—exacerbated by Middle East conflicts driving energy price surges, offsetting moderating wage growth at 3.8% (weakest since 2020) and slight labor market softening. A 10% chance of a hike reflects upside inflation risks, while cut odds below 1% signal caution against easing prematurely; watch March CPI release on April 22 for potential shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于未变 90%
上调 10.1%
下调25个基点 <1%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
$244,104 交易量
$244,104 交易量
下调50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
<1%
未变
90%
上调
10%
未变 90%
上调 10.1%
下调25个基点 <1%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
$244,104 交易量
$244,104 交易量
下调50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
<1%
未变
90%
上调
10%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% ahead of the April 30 MPC meeting, anchored by the committee's unanimous 9-0 vote to hold rates on March 19 amid persistent inflation pressures. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year—well above the 2% target—exacerbated by Middle East conflicts driving energy price surges, offsetting moderating wage growth at 3.8% (weakest since 2020) and slight labor market softening. A 10% chance of a hike reflects upside inflation risks, while cut odds below 1% signal caution against easing prematurely; watch March CPI release on April 22 for potential shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题