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科技·大型科技公司

4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）

Ended: 4月 17

Ended: 4月 17

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview <1%

qwen3.5-max-preview <1%

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k <1%

Polymarket

$58,712 交易量

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview <1%

qwen3.5-max-preview <1%

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k <1%

Polymarket

$58,712 交易量

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$41,830 交易量

是

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

$726 交易量

否

qwen3.5-max-preview

$279 交易量

否

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k

$500 交易量

否

gemini-2.5-pro

$252 交易量

否

muse-spark

$3,822 交易量

否

claude-opus-4-6

$6,053 交易量

否

dola-seed-2.0-preview

$529 交易量

否

gpt-5.4-high

$1,053 交易量

否

gemini-3-pro

$435 交易量

否

grok-4.20-beta1

$1,026 交易量

否

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning

$684 交易量

否

gemini-3-flash

$198 交易量

否

kimi-k2.5-thinking

$419 交易量

否

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

$904 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking commands 100% trader consensus as the top AI model on April 17 in the Style Control On category of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, holding a dominant 1504 Elo score from over 16,000 human preference battles—well ahead of Gemini 2.5 Pro and xAI's Grok 4.20 Beta1 at around 1486 Elo. This positioning stems from its February 2026 launch and early April surge to #1, bolstered by superior reasoning and style adherence in real-world prompts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While locked in amid market close, realistic challenges include late-day vote influxes favoring yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 release, which topped Code Arena today, or leaderboard recount adjustments potentially flipping the narrow Elo gaps.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$58,712
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking commands 100% trader consensus as the top AI model on April 17 in the Style Control On category of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, holding a dominant 1504 Elo score from over 16,000 human preference battles—well ahead of Gemini 2.5 Pro and xAI's Grok 4.20 Beta1 at around 1486 Elo. This positioning stems from its February 2026 launch and early April surge to #1, bolstered by superior reasoning and style adherence in real-world prompts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While locked in amid market close, realistic challenges include late-day vote influxes favoring yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 release, which topped Code Arena today, or leaderboard recount adjustments potentially flipping the narrow Elo gaps.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$58,712
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "claude-opus-4-6-thinking" at 100%, followed by "gemini-3.1-pro-preview" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" has generated $58.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" is "claude-opus-4-6-thinking" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "gemini-3.1-pro-preview" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月17日的熱門AI模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.