Trader consensus assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a 22°C high in Taipei today, anchored by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and short-range forecasts showing peak temperatures stabilizing around 22°C under persistent cloud cover from a fast-moving cold front. Morning snow on Yushan confirmed the influx of cooler continental air, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C, with current airport and urban station readings hovering at 20-21°C amid overcast skies and light showers. Model ensembles from CWA and global systems like ECMWF show tight agreement on limited insolation and weak southerly steering, minimizing upside risk. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing after 3 PM allowing solar heating to push a peripheral station like Songshan Airport to 23°C before sunset; final CWA hourly summaries expected by evening will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 99.3%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
24°C <1%
$128,430 Объем
$128,430 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.3%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
24°C <1%
$128,430 Объем
$128,430 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
22°C
$20,665 Объем
99%
23°C
$7,816 Объем
1%
24°C
$6,333 Объем
<1%
25°C or higher
$9,880 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a 22°C high in Taipei today, anchored by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and short-range forecasts showing peak temperatures stabilizing around 22°C under persistent cloud cover from a fast-moving cold front. Morning snow on Yushan confirmed the influx of cooler continental air, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C, with current airport and urban station readings hovering at 20-21°C amid overcast skies and light showers. Model ensembles from CWA and global systems like ECMWF show tight agreement on limited insolation and weak southerly steering, minimizing upside risk. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing after 3 PM allowing solar heating to push a peripheral station like Songshan Airport to 23°C before sunset; final CWA hourly summaries expected by evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Объем
$128,430Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a 22°C high in Taipei today, anchored by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and short-range forecasts showing peak temperatures stabilizing around 22°C under persistent cloud cover from a fast-moving cold front. Morning snow on Yushan confirmed the influx of cooler continental air, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C, with current airport and urban station readings hovering at 20-21°C amid overcast skies and light showers. Model ensembles from CWA and global systems like ECMWF show tight agreement on limited insolation and weak southerly steering, minimizing upside risk. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing after 3 PM allowing solar heating to push a peripheral station like Songshan Airport to 23°C before sunset; final CWA hourly summaries expected by evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$128,430Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a 22°C high in Taipei today, anchored by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest observational data and short-range forecasts showing peak temperatures stabilizing around 22°C under persistent cloud cover from a fast-moving cold front. Morning snow on Yushan confirmed the influx of cooler continental air, suppressing daytime heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C, with current airport and urban station readings hovering at 20-21°C amid overcast skies and light showers. Model ensembles from CWA and global systems like ECMWF show tight agreement on limited insolation and weak southerly steering, minimizing upside risk. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing after 3 PM allowing solar heating to push a peripheral station like Songshan Airport to 23°C before sunset; final CWA hourly summaries expected by evening will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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